Retail Unwrapped from The Robin Report https://therobinreport.com Retail Unwrapped is a weekly podcast series hosted by our Chief Strategist Shelley E. Kohan. Each week, they share insights and opinions on major topics in the retail and consumer product industries. The shows are a lively conversation on industry-wide issues, trends, and consumer behavior. Fri, 27 Jun 2025 15:29:14 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.8.2 The Robin Report The Robin Report info@therobinreport.com Retail Unwrapped from The Robin Report https://therobinreport.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/RR_RU_Podcast_CTAArtboard-02-copy.jpg https://therobinreport.com Retail Unwrapped from The Robin Report Retail Unwrapped is a weekly podcast series hosted by our Chief Strategist Shelley E. Kohan. Each week, they share insights and opinions on major topics in the retail and consumer product industries. The shows are a lively conversation on industry-wide issues, trends, and consumer behavior. false All content copyright The Robin Report. The Power of Retail Influencers https://therobinreport.com/the-power-of-retail-influencers/ Mon, 30 Jun 2025 04:01:00 +0000 https://therobinreport.com/?p=97866 RetailInfluencers 2 1Retail influencers drive online and in-store sales through live events, creator products, and authentic, staff-generated social media content. ]]> RetailInfluencers 2 1

If you haven’t purchased a product after seeing it on social media, you’re in the minority. Despite the drama surrounding TikTok bans and looming tariffs, 56 percent of all social media users anticipate maintaining their current level of social purchases in 2025. And 32 percent of users actually expect to buy more on social media this year.

Live shopping events are growing faster than affiliate marketing on social media. This dovetails with consumers’ propensity to connect with store associates via staff-generated content––customers who shop on social media want more real, more product-focus, and more niche expertise-sharing content than ever before. It’s this type of relatable, fun, day-in-the-life-of narrative that can drive physical traffic in 2025.

Retailers get it and are highly aware of the revenue opportunity in social selling: Deloitte found that 80 percent of retail executives foresee increased social commerce in 2025. Physical retail stores still generate more revenue than sales made on social media, yet neither is a category that retailers can afford to ignore.

What is the relationship between a retailer’s social media presence and their physical store sales? How can retailers adjust that relationship to boost their bottom line? Let’s take a look at three strategies that can help retailers generate real traffic and loyal customers through both channels.

Live Shopping Events Drive Consumers to Stores

Here’s the deal: Live shopping events are a growing focus for retailers as an alternative to affiliate marketing. You can’t log onto social media without experiencing affiliate marketing nowadays––powdered Yerba Mate being hawked by suburban moms … fifteen-year-old soccer players selling camera mounts…the list could go on indefinitely. Affiliate marketing has been successful in increasing brand awareness through each respective spokesperson’s/influencer’s following.

However, these individuals are rarely well-versed about the brand itself or even the product they’re posting about. Influencers are often unprepared to provide customer service functions for a brand or retailer––functions like answering product questions, providing customized usage guidance and styling suggestions, or providing backstories on the company itself. Another risk is that brands can become associated with an influencer whom they don’t truly know and cannot control. Remember the Gap & Kanye-esque disaster? Affiliate marketing is also dependent upon external variables like TikTok bans.

Live shopping events bridge the gap between a retailer’s physical stores and their social media presence. Take Sephora’s 2024 Livestream Beauty Masterclasses which brought the makeup expertise of seasoned artists to Sephora’s social media followers. These events helped Sephora achieve 30 percent higher engagement rates than standard video content, while simultaneously driving a 25 percent increase in featured product sales within 48 hours of each event.

Creator Commerce Comes to Brick-and-Mortar

Remember ten years ago when it felt like every successful B-movie actress had her own perfume or home furnishings line? Well, pop culture influencers are producing the next round of products like “Circus by Britney Spears.” The lifecycle of a successful influencer now includes a product line that doesn’t have to be sold exclusively on digital platforms––local personalities and micro influencers are often more than willing to collaborate with retailers to sell their namesake products, whether it be apparel — licensed or woven — books they authored, or “master classes” for which they’re trying to rustle up online traffic. Business Insider covered the phenomenon of influencers attending events in person last year, but most retailers have yet to make the connection in their physical stores. It’s a missed opportunity to drive traffic and nontraditional sales.

Creator commerce is defined by Google as “a type of ecommerce where content creators, influencers, and bloggers directly promote and sell products to their audience, typically through their own platforms or channels.” It is catching on like wildfire. Consider that 71 percent of U.S. consumers purchased a creator-founded product in June 2024, and that number is only rising.

Next gens are doubling down on parasocial relationships. So, creators’ social media followings have become part of the brand or product value proposition. Creators with large followings can often leverage them to secure prime placements on physical retail shelves and in online stores. It’s about the relationship and the product, not the channel.

Staff-Generated Content Personalizes Brands

Want to hear something ironic? Next gens long for transparency from retailers on social media and they want a curated in-person shopping experience. The exact opposite usually occurs: Retailers’ polished, aspirational presences on social media mask transparency and the reality of their in-person stores is a far cry from curated shopping experiences.

Staff generated content is bridging the gap between the transparent and the aspirational. Take Poppi Soda’s TikTok account, that gives visitors a code for 15 percent off their next Poppi purchase. But more notably, there are staff-made videos with relatable themes shot in the office, giving visitors an intimate, quirky look into Poppi culture. This isn’t exclusive to brands, either. By encouraging employees to create videos that showcase the store vibe, its inventory, and employee expertise, retailers can use their digital presence to boost physical traffic.

Remember, live shopping events are growing faster than affiliate marketing on social media in 2025. This dovetails with consumers’ propensity to connect with store associates via staff-generated content––customers who shop on social media want more real, more product-focus, and more niche expertise-sharing content than ever before. It’s this type of relatable, fun, day-in-the-life-of type of narrative that can drive physical traffic in 2025.

The Recap

Bottom line? Social media and sales associates are partners. Store associates, already well-versed in the merchandise, can step in as the brand ambassadors for fit checks, tastings, and product demos on social media. Retail influencers can drive traffic to physical stores, bringing once parasocial relationships into real life and building loyal communities that boost basket sizes. What starts as a swipe can end in a sale for retailers willing to serve up transparency and human connection, at scale.

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Gen Z Has Great Expectations: They Want You to Care About Them https://therobinreport.com/gen-z-has-great-expectations-they-want-you-to-care-about-them/ Mon, 23 Jun 2025 04:01:00 +0000 https://therobinreport.com/?p=97807 Gen Z Image“Omnichannel” and “seamless” are outcomes of smart technology. Yet investing in tech alone doesn’t serve next gen shoppers––Gen Z still spends as much on clothing in physical stores as they do online. And both Gen Z and millennials spend more […]]]> Gen Z Image

“Omnichannel” and “seamless” are outcomes of smart technology. Yet investing in tech alone doesn’t serve next gen shoppers––Gen Z still spends as much on clothing in physical stores as they do online. And both Gen Z and millennials spend more in physical stores overall than online. Next gens are just focused on different KPIs when they make the trek to a brick-and-mortar destination: They want a good reason to visit a physical store.

Next gens came of age during pandemic lockdowns and they’re highly neurodiverse. If there’s not a specific reason for them to visit a physical store, like guidance from experts, brand storytelling, or free services correlated to inventory (tailoring, makeup application, tarot readings), they’ll simply order online.

Merchandising 101

“Retail merchandising” typically refers to curating in store inventory in ways that motivate consumers to buy. But retail merchandising for next gen consumers requires removing the irrelevant lens of “convenience as incentive” from in-store shopping. Instead, retailers need to look at their physical stores as “ever-evolving destinations” that offer experiential value with every visit.

Consumers go online for value…they go to physical stores to add value to their lives. Let’s look at what next gens expect from in-store shopping, and the merchandising strategies that are winning their loyalty.

Fortifying Wellness

Next gens came of age during pandemic lockdowns and they’re highly neurodiverse. If there’s not a specific reason for them to visit a physical store, like guidance from experts, brand storytelling, or free services correlated to inventory (tailoring, makeup application, tarot readings), they’ll simply order online.

It’s no secret that Generation Z is hyper-focused on their mental health. In challenging economies, retailers are often tempted to revert to the old “get them in store and then hard sell ‘em” mentality. But beware: Hard selling is the antithesis of what Gen Z wants to experience in physical stores; this behavior doesn’t enhance the mental health of anyone involved. While a big one-off sale may result, it certainly won’t inspire next gens to come back or bring their friends to stores. And, frankly, it doesn’t get anymore “cringe” than that.

A recent study by Ayden found that almost three-quarters of Gen Z shop in person at least once a week. Most Gen Zers shop in-store for the experience, rather than to buy necessities––they can go online for those. They simply want to feel better leaving a store than they did when they arrived. Fortifying next gen optimism is offering an in-store environment designed to make them feel good and look great. In a recent study, 42 percent of Gen Z consumers said in-store displays that inspire them are “highly important,” while 36 percent favored “the right floor plan” and “overall flow.”

Merchandising can help create an ambience that lifts moods; clutter is the arch enemy. Strategic merchandise, uncluttered environments, smooth and spacious floor plans, ambient lighting, and soothing or on-theme sounds create a store that young customers won’t want to leave. Retailers don’t need sprawling grounds to create a shoppable environment. Look at Ikea’s smaller format showroom concept stores, for example. Some of the stores operate as pickup points for the digital experience––which feels curated and spacious, never cramped, regardless of the limited square footage.  Or Nike’s creative custom shoe design floors, which can also be accessed on the brand’s app and website.

Curation and Guidance

Gen Z still prefers to make beauty and luxury purchases in person. This makes sense, considering that in-store product testing is critical for beauty products, and luxury items are defined by their rich brand histories and personal service. Another thing beauty and luxury have in common? Customers shop for them in-store for the curation, as well as the product guidance and storytelling. In-store experiences are part of the value proposition of both categories, whether it’s getting personalized guidance from the skincare aficionado at an Ulta counter or the brand storytelling at the Gucci flagship in SoHo.

Gen Z are champions of informed consent, both in romantic relationships and in interfacing with store associates. But asking if a customer needs help before inflicting an uninvited verbal torrent on them is still a skill that most store associates need to be trained to provide. The ambition for sales quotas and/or commissions can get in the way of being attuned to the customer.

Make or Break at Checkout

Gen Z sees themselves as upholders of common sense. They live in a fractured world. They were directly impacted by the pandemic during their formative years, they are experiencing more drastic global warming effects than any other generation, and they’re more tech savvy than every other generation to date. As such, Gen Z is fragile and judgmental when it comes to service. 

If a retailer is sorely understaffed, swamped, or disorganized, Gen Z will simply leave without completing their intended purchases. In fact, over half (60 percent) of Gen Z will abandon their in-store purchases if checkout lines are too long. Nimble, flexible staffing during peak hours can help retailers capture sales from younger customers during high traffic times. Mobile POS stations can also be helpful in stores where a limited number of cash wraps is an issue to enable associates to process card transactions anywhere in the store.

The Shopper Experience

To win over next gens, retailers need to lean into what really matters: experience, intention, and respect. Gen Z wants an environment that feels good, flows well, and reflects their values. So, retailers need to shift from pushing product to curating experience. That means offering real guidance, not just sales pitches. It also means understanding that today’s shoppers are walking in with high expectations—and even higher awareness.

For next gens to drive, park, and hoof it into a physical store, it needs to be an experience worthy of the effort. Cluttered shelves, stressed retail employees, and aggressive sales tactics are not attractions. Next gens observe the stress level of retail employees. They’re conscious of how much thought retailers put into their space. But for the retailers willing to listen, adapt, and show up with intention? There’s an opportunity to build real, lasting loyalty.

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Walmart Resets Its Future https://therobinreport.com/walmart-resets-its-future/ Mon, 16 Jun 2025 04:01:00 +0000 https://therobinreport.com/?p=97740 walmart droneWalmart drone delivery is taking flight as part of a bold tech push—alongside AI, fintech, and real estate moves transforming the retail giant.]]> walmart drone

This is not your grandma’s Walmart anymore. Hell, it’s not even your Walmart anymore these days. With an unprecedented number of initiatives on its plate today, the world’s biggest retailer — almost twice as large as its closest competitor — is both playing catch-up and pull-out-ahead in the retail world. If you legitimately ask what took them so long, they will answer, “Yeah, we know. But retail has to stop living in the past. We’re not and we’re moving on.”

When the company says, “Behind the scenes, we’ve become one of the most innovative retailers in the country. We’ve built a shopping experience that’s faster, smarter, more flexible, and more digital than ever before to make things easier when you shop with us.” It’s not just Walmart-speak. It’s real.

The fact that Walmart is racing forward at a scale and speed that would be the envy of a much, much smaller business, makes it that much more remarkable. Somewhere, driving around in his beat-up Ford F-150 pickup truck, Mr. Sam is smiling…or at least as close to a smile as anyone ever saw back in the day.

Fast Tracking

Walmart’s avalanche of activities cuts across a number of disciplines and aspects of its business, from real estate and logistics to financial services and technology. All of it ultimately comes under the leadership of CEO Doug McMillon who, since moving into the corner office 11 years ago, has taken what was a successful but hardly inspiring giant and transformed it into perhaps the most assertive player in the business. In doing so, he has taken the company’s topline revenues from $473 billion to today’s $681 billion, a 44 percent jump that is difficult to match anywhere in the retailing world.

With all that’s in motion now, McMillon and Walmart are working on getting closer to what was once inconceivable: a retail business doing a trillion dollars a year. It’s still on the distant horizon…but not nearly as far away as it used to be.

Who Knew? Walmart Knew

It’s been a long time since shopping snobs would proudly claim they had never stepped foot in a Walmart store and had no intention of ever doing so. And even if there are a few holdouts still hovering on the Interstates, today most Americans shop — often and regularly — at a Walmart. Still, there’s an underlying stigma about the brand that traces back to Walmart’s rural hillbilly founding days. Walmart is no fool and its new marketing addresses this head-on with a high-profile, slightly irreverent advertising drop themed “Who Knew?” 

The edgy White Lotus star Walton Goggins (does anyone think it’s a coincidence that his first name is the same as the Walmart family name?) is Walmart’s storyteller. According to reports, the campaign “was inspired by research indicating that while 90 percent of Americans live within 10 miles of a Walmart, most aren’t aware of the retailer’s brand evolution.” Stephanie Beatriz stars in the Spanish language version, proving that even if all its customers don’t know Walmart the store knows all its customers.

Walmart is reported to have spent $4.4 billion in marketing costs last year and in 2025 we expect this new campaign will eat up a sizeable portion of its budget this year. The ad’s tagline, “The Walmart you thought you knew is now new,” may be a play on words but it certainly is a play too.

It’s My Real Estate

Going all the way back to its origins, Walmart always wanted to control as much of its operation as possible. That’s why it owns its own trucking fleet that picks up merchandise at vendor warehouses and shuttles it back and forth between its stores and its wholly owned DCs. That ownership control extends to the stores themselves, most of which Walmart owns rather than leases.

Recently, it took that a step further by buying up two entire shopping centers in Pennsylvania. Acquiring the Bethel Park Center and the Monroeville Mall were almost rounding errors on its balance sheet, but they represent a smart real estate strategy. By owning entire centers, Walmart can maintain the quality of the property as well as make sure the tenant mix is a good fit for its own stores. Remember when long-ago retailers like Sears Roebuck and Marshall Field owned the manufacturers who supplied many of its products? This is just a variation on that same concept and further establishes Walmart as the master of its universe. Expect to see more of this manifest destiny going forward.

Meet Sparky, Your New Shopping Assistant

AI-generated shopping bots are not exactly newsmakers anymore, but here’s another example of Walmart playing both catch-up and upping the playing field. Sparky, as it’s called, can find products, search recommendations and do more sophisticated things like find sporting events and then identify which team apparel you might want to buy to wear to the game. It can also tell you what the weather is going to be at the beach you’re headed to and, oh by the way, here’s a bathing suit and beach towel you can get for your visit.

The second phase of Sparky promises even more AI capabilities Walmart says you’ll be able to get how-to instructions for fixing that leaky faucet, including, of course, recommendations on what tools you’ll need to buy. You’ll be able to plan complete events, coordinate activities and otherwise have Sparky run your life. It’s not science fiction anymore. And it’s all part of the Walmart control formula.

Drones’R’Us

Walmart has been testing deliveries by drone since 2021, both around its Bentonville, AK headquarters and more recently in Dallas. It says it has made more than 150,000 successful deliveries and if anybody got bonked on the head by a container of Tide it didn’t make the newspapers.

Now, drone deliveries are being expanded. Working from 100 store locations Walmart will start these services in Houston, Atlanta, Charlotte, Orlando and Tampa. This represents a dramatic step up in drone usage that puts Walmart on the cutting edge of technology, right up there with you-know-who (Amazon). Yes, it’s not a bird, it’s not a plane, it’s not Superman: It’s a Walmart drone.

Fintech in the Cards

Walmart’s credit card tie-in with Capital One ended badly in 2023, so it seemed like only a matter of time before the retailer rolled out a replacement. That happened this month when it announced a new program with Synchrony Bank, the folks who already have tie-ins with a number of other retailers across the country. The strategic partnership links Walmart’s OnePay card with a new Mastercard plan in two tiers: one is a general card and one is store specific. One analyst called it “a comprehensive fintech ecosystem,” which sounds about right for something the world’s biggest retailer should have.

Walmart has danced around the idea of establishing a real bank for years and this seems to take it one step closer without the regulatory rigmarole that would be required to actually start a bank. And it’s just one more example of the Boys from Bentonville working to take control of every step of the American buying process. Getting the control picture?

Youth Quake

If there were any demographic where Walmart has historically struggled from both a merchandising and perception viewpoint, it’s been with younger customers — those emerging next-gen consumers just starting to feel their shopping oats. From apparel better suited to Branson, MO and annual meetings that trot out Dolly Parton-esque entertainers than Coachella in Palm Springs, Walmart has always had an age-image issue. 

Now the drones, the AI and the White Lotus TV celebs are just the top of the pyramid that are working to undo that picture. Walmart recently introduced a new line of apparel under the Weekend Academy brand specifically geared to the Gen Alpha crowd with most products retailing for under $15. Can you hear Uniqlo or Primark squirming? And the entertainment at its annual shareholders shindig earlier this month? Performers included Post Malone, Camila Cabello, Noah Kahan Jimmy Fallon, Walton Goggins, Chris Paul and The Killers — and not a Country Music Awards star in sight.

Our Forever Walmart

No doubt there’s plenty more happening at Walmart under the hood. For instance, even though the company employed 2.1 million people around the world at the end of last year and remains the largest private employer in the country, that was almost 70,000 fewer than five years ago. Its balance sheet continues to shine, and its stock price is up more than 85 percent in just the past two years – in fact, 144 percent, since 2020. Target is off 16 percent during that same five-year period and even retail superstar Home Depot is only about 50 percent up since 2020.

Giant competitors like Costco and TJX often get all the headlines about being amazing retailers (in fairness Costco’s share price has increased by more over these five years) but nobody is doing it at the scale of Walmart. Nobody. That’s why when the company says, “Behind the scenes, we’ve become one of the most innovative retailers in the country. We’ve built a shopping experience that’s faster, smarter, more flexible, and more digital than ever before to make things easier when you shop with us.” It’s not just Walmart-speak. It’s real.

One of the many Sam Waltonisms out there is “I have always been driven to buck the system, to innovate, to take things beyond where they’ve been.” Now 33 years after his death, Walmart continues to buck that system in ways he could never have imagined.

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Marketing Newsflash: Demographics Are So Over https://therobinreport.com/marketing-newsflash-demographics-are-so-over/ Fri, 13 Jun 2025 04:01:00 +0000 https://therobinreport.com/?p=97736 1280by750 WebImage PodcastJun13Retail’s decline stems from outdated demographics; success now comes from emotional insights, trust, and authentic, value-driven marketing.]]> 1280by750 WebImage PodcastJun13

The retail apocalypse isn’t coming from economic downturns; it’s being driven by executives who still believe traditional demographics predict shopping behavior and loyalty.  Customers have moved beyond typical market segment classifications to psychological and emotional influences.  The most successful organizations have abandoned demographic targeting and price wars to focus on earning customer trust through authentic value propositions that solve real human problems.

Join Shelley and guests Lisa Holland, Executive Head Enterprise Analytics at Albertsons Companies; Dan Bonert, Senior Vice President of Retail Media, Merchandising Analytics and Collaborations at NIQ; Wendy Liebman, CEO and Founder/Chief Shopper at WSL Strategic Retail; and Craig Dubitsky, Founder of Happy Coffee as they discuss the new state of customer marketing. They reveal how leveraging retail media networks (processing over 2.4 trillion weekly transactions) delivers unprecedented behavioral insights.

They also describe how winning companies are transforming physical retail spaces from transactional hubs into community connection centers where human connection creates indispensable relationships that digital alternatives cannot replicate. Breakthrough insights reshaping a competitive advantage are that emotional innovation trumps technical apps. Plus, an authentic brand voice cannot be manufactured by third-party performative marketing campaigns but must emerge organically from genuine values integrated directly into operational decisions.

 

Special Guests

Lisa Holland: Executive Head Enterprise Analytics at Albertsons Companies
Dan Bonert: Senior Vice President of Retail Media, Merchandising Analytics and Collaborations at NIQ
Wendy Liebman: CEO and Founder/Chief Shopper at WSL Strategic Retail; and
Craig Dubitsky: Founder of Happy Coffee

Just think about your daily experience and whether you’re outside or on your computer or in the store, you’re constantly bombarded with ads and you know, there’s this blindness that, uh, consumers have where they start to tune it out. So how does AI actually help that to help inform, creating that connection and avoid, uh, wear out, avoid, uh, you know, not being seen and driving the impact that they want?

Retail Unwrapped is a weekly podcast hosted by Shelly Cohan from the Robin Report. Each episode dives into the latest trends and developments in the retail industry. Join them as they discuss interesting topics and interview industry leaders keeping you in the loop with everything retail.

Hi everybody, and thanks for joining our weekly podcast. I’m Shelly Cohan and I’m very excited to welcome a variety of guests today that I was able to talk shop with at the Nielsen IQ 360 Quest for next conference. So we start our lineup with Lisa Holland. She’s the Executive Head enterprise Analytics at Albertson’s Companies, and she’ll give us an in-depth dive into customer lifetime value and how the current retail playbook is broken.

We then hop over and talk to Dan Boner. He’s the Senior Vice President of Retail Media Merchandising, analytics, and Collaborations with N iq, where we’re gonna talk about how the retail media networks of revolution has reached an inflection point where traditional advertising models are being dismantled by data driven precision.

Targeting that fundamental changes how brands connect with Cano consumers throughout their entire purchase journey. We then to a great colleague in our industry, Wendy Lieman. She is the CEO and founder chief Shopper at. WSL strategic retailing, and she will enlighten us on retail innovation. And she’ll also tell us about how the retail industry stands at a critical crossroads, where traditional playbook of competing on price alone has become obsolete, forcing organizations to rediscover the fundamental principles of innovation and human connection that drive sustainable growth.

And finally, we have a delightful conversation with Craig Dki. He is the founder of Happy Coffee, who he co-founded the company with, uh, Robert Downey Jr. Apparently a coffee aficionado Here we’re gonna touch upon emotional brand innovation, startup brand building, and the purpose driven marketing. So let’s get started.

I’m very excited. I have Lisa Holland with me, executive Head Enterprise Analytics at Albertson’s Companies. That’s a huge job. It’s, it’s a, it’s a. There’s, there’s lots of responsibility, but lots of, um, great things that come from the type of role I have for sure. Excellent. Tell me about your role there and what you do.

So my role is, I, I would consider it a bit unique. I haven’t, I’ve worked with a lot of retailers and I haven’t quite seen the design of what our team does and many other retailers. So, um, my team is really, we’re designed to bring deep institutional knowledge of customers in the markets that we compete.

And what that means is we have very seasoned tenured, uh, folks on the team that have different disciplines. So whether it be research or whether it be really deep analytics or understanding the full market landscape. And so when we have all these disciplines together, um, under one umbrella under me, it allows us to look very broad and very deep on what’s happening in our business and what’s happening in the market.

And, um, we really serve to bring that to the business and the business meeting, usually our executive teams. And we’re, we’re here to identify blind spots oftentimes. Mm-hmm. And sometimes where the green shoots of growth are that we should go after more purposefully. Um, and it really is all based on like really understanding who our customers are, what needs are we meeting, how does that look versus competition, and then bringing that perspective to the business every day.

And it’s so interesting because we get now, we just have so much data. Mm-hmm. And a lot of the data comes from different sources. Correct. And you have different functions across the business. And so how do you get this unified, like mm-hmm. Single source of truth. You know, it’s interesting because I think there’s not one data point that is a single source of truth.

Right. It, it really is the culmination of all of that. That, um, allows you to, to have a perspective that’s rooted in many different data sources. So, for example, we can look at our internal data and see patterns and behaviors of shoppers and you know, what we may be seeing inside our four walls. But if you don’t have the context of the market and what else they may be exposed to, what other choices they may have in their consideration set.

And if you don’t understand why or what emotionally they feel like they’re trading off for those experiences, um, you aren’t getting a single source of the truth. It’s the whole human, you know, is how I try to explain it, is we’re looking at their, how they feel, how they shop, how they consume food, where else do they go, um, and then how does that translate into what they’re doing in our stores and why?

So that is really what makes our team unique is that we. We actually use so many different data sources. We, we read industry reports just like anybody else would, but then we also have like the really geeky side of it, which is digging really deep into the data too. So what do you think the opportunities are in the US market?

So, um, we have a lot of density of retail presence, um, all over, right? And I think that even the smallest of retailers, if they’re meeting a unique customer need, can do quite well in the market, for example, you know? Mm-hmm. So sometimes it’s, it’s not necessarily about, you know, who has the most stores, but who’s actually making a promise to customers that they’re standing for.

And they represent that every day and, and what they’re offering. And, um, you can be quite successful. So I think in the us, um. I think what I have observed after all these years is we tend to speak in like generalities or averages or the low income shopper shops. This way, the high income shopper shops this way, gen Z millennials.

And it, it almost, it pains me because that’s not, just because we’re the same age doesn’t mean that we shop the same way that we have the same needs. We look for the same products. Um, and so if, if, if retail is not think is still thinking that way, I think that they’re gonna be misguided and probably miss the mark.

Because you really do have to understand what need are you solving for with which customers. Is that enough to differentiate yourself versus other retailers? Um, and if it’s not, what, where are you gonna place your bets? What are you gonna stand for? So I think that all retailers have to solve for that.

It’s a huge opportunity. But, um, I think in the US we’re. We have a lot of choices. We have a lot of different ways that we’re influenced. You know, I was talking to my daughter who, I mean, she, she’s 25 and her way of shopping and being inspired and recipes like are through social media. Um, you know, that’s so true.

Sometimes, like going to the grocery store is a novelty and it’s like a thing, but it’s not, it’s, it’s very few and far between. So even the way that they get their groceries certainly is different and what influences them looks very different. You mentioned two things that I hear as a theme here at the NIQ conference, and that is the, this emotional connection.

Mm-hmm. So being emotionally connected mm-hmm. And the importance of that physical store mm-hmm. Is just, it’s so more important now than it ever has been. Mm-hmm. I think. Mm-hmm. I agree. I think, um, we, I have said this a couple times, um, inside our four walls, but. I know we’ll talk a little bit about like deep and lasting relationships with customers and where does that, that really, I believe, um, and I can see it in patterns, but loyalty, deep and lasting relationships start in the store.

And when they have a consistent good experience and they feel good when they leave and they feel like they got what they need, what they want, um, at a fair price and all the experiences that they’re, and, and again, that’s gonna look different. It means different things to different people. But, um, if you’re not earning, if you’re not earning their trust there, getting them to trust you in your digital assets or online or in your pharmacy or in any other area that you wanna deepen your relationship with.

It’s not, it, it doesn’t happen unless you earn the trust there first, in my opinion. Do you have any advice that you would give to retailers that are struggling with customer engagement or loyalty? I think that, um, data is extremely powerful. The, you know, there’s a lot of engines and AI and, you know, but, but my advice would be to really take a step back and understand the context, the market, the full picture.

Um, um, there are so many other influences to business performance that I, business is driven by human beings buying stuff, at least in my business. Right. And I know one of the things you asked was like, how do you, how do you pivot from profitable sales to, um, um, long-term loyalty and customer lifetime value?

Yeah, customer lifetime value. I would actually say profitable sales is the desired outcome for everyone. I think that, like, business isn’t gonna survive if, you know, being profitable and driving sales isn’t critical. Right. But. Customer lifetime value is the means and the way to get to profitable sales.

Right? Well, that, that’s the answer that, that’s the pathway of getting there. So, um, if you’re ever wondering why, you know, we’re, why sales aren’t as they are, um, there’s, there are people that are generating that trend for you. And so take a step back and understand that because that’s the pathway. I also love the fact that you probably don’t recognize this, but I’m gonna call it out.

You never once said consumer, you said human beings, right? Shopping in a store. I love that. We’re humans. I know. We’re just people, you know, like, it’s so true. But we’re so, like, you know, we have this mentality where it’s like consumer insights and KPIs and it’s like, is it shopper, is it consumer? Is it, is it customer?

Is it, it’s, it’s all of us. It’s, it’s, it doesn’t matter, you know, that we’re just human beings that have. Needs to feed our families that are trying to do so with, get the best value, with a great quality and great experience, and not be inconvenienced. And we just, I, I would say that, um, we want people to love grocery shopping.

Um, but I would say, and, and I many do. Um, but if we don’t just put our human hat on, um, when we’re, when we’re looking at the business, I mean, that’s what I do for a living. Like, I can be a bit Pollyanna like, thank you, but it’s, I love it. It’s the truth. Yeah. Well, thank you. It’s the pathway to growth in my opinion.

I’m very excited to sit down with Dan Bonner, who’s the senior Vice President, retail Media Merchant Analytics and collaborations at NIQ. So welcome to the podcast. Yeah, thank you for having me, Shelley. It’s interesting you’re tackling one of the most interesting topics that I think we have in our industry, which is retail media networks.

So first, why don’t you tell me a little bit about your role at NIQ and maybe how the merchandise analytics and the collaboration is unique. Yeah. Um, so as you mentioned, I oversee our retail media as well as the analytics and collaboration sites, which are three components that work closely together. So, uh, one of the things that, uh, when talking to Nielsen IQ before joining the company was there’s a lot of solutions, a lot of pieces that we can help partners with, um, from, whether it be from measurement or audience augmentation, audience segmentation.

Creative and just trying to figure out how we help RMNs and how do we help manufacturers think a little bit differently about how they engage with us. So I’ve been thinking a lot over the last five months since I’ve joined is how do those pieces kind of fit and how do they solve some of the problems that we’re seeing with RMNs

Measurement’s a big one that we talk a lot about. I recently spoke with the American Research Foundation. It’s obviously a hot topic about how exactly should we be measuring across RMNs and what does that look like. And then from the merchandising, analytics, and collaboration, that piece is really how we work with our retailers to capture, uh, what they’re seeing in store across both, uh, click and collect online and in store across all of our, uh, retailers that we partner with.

So we, on average, we see about 2.4 trillion transactions on a weekly basis. That’s amazing. Yes. For context, if you take Visa, MasterCard, and Amex and combine them, so they see about 400 billion. So it’s almost six times the size. So synthesizing and harmonizing that data to understand consumer trends, shopping behavior, where things are shifting, and then how can marketers and retailers adopt or adapt.

So you are also delivering a big keynote at the NIQ conference, so can you tell me a little bit about, maybe give, give us like a rundown of what you’re gonna talk about, maybe some key takeaways from that? Yeah. I’m very, um, lucky that we have, um, Nicole Landis, who’s joining us from Amazon to speak on the panel.

AJ from Bayer, who works on, uh, their retail media business as well. Um, we’re focusing on three different areas, measurement, which we’ve already touched on, um, on how we think about measuring success across our retail media partners. And how do you think about that in comparison to what you might be doing with a Google or a Meta and others in the marketplace?

What is the right measurement solution for different uh. You know, as a a manufacturer, what should, what should you be focused on? What kind of outcomes should you be looking at and what you should be measuring against? The other area that we’re gonna explore is collaboration. And the evolution of this is more about how RMNs are working really closely with manufacturers to think about how they help with new product launches, how they help establish brands, how do they build partnerships that actually benefit both.

Um, this isn’t a win like win-lose situation. It’s like how do you create win-win RMNs ultimately, ultimately. And retailers want to move more product, right? They want more sales value. Manufacturers wanna move more of their products. How can they work in tandem to build those partnerships? So it’s not necessarily a negotiation of where you find the middle, but how can you drive velocity across that business and help them stand out?

And the third place that we’ll focus on is on emerging trends. Some of the things that we’ve seen is, you know, in-store media, there’s been a lot of conversation about how do you execute against that? How do you take what we’re doing digitally and actually bring that into the store experience? How do you do that in a way that actually connects with consumers, you know, aisles away versus miles away?

’cause that experience is very different. And then we’ll talk a little bit about what, where AI fits mm-hmm. And how that is, um, from helping Mark helping the consumer, uh, give them more relevant, uh, products that are meaningful to them. So they are more likely to take action all the way down to the creative side.

And thinking about how do you connect with consumers on a creative format that is more likely to get their attention. Uh, there’s data, I just was looking at this morning, the average person sees somewhere around 6,000 ads per day throughout their experiences. That’s amazing. Yeah. And so, I mean, just think about your daily experience and whether you’re outside or on your computer or in the store, you’re constantly bombarded with ads and, you know, there’s this blindness that, uh, consumers have where they start to tune it out.

So how does AI actually help that to help inform, creating that connection and avoid, uh, wear out, avoid, uh, you know, not being seen and driving the impact that they want. And you brought up YouTube, which is, you know, in Scott D’s Yeah. Keynote, uh, conversation at the NIQ conference. You talked about that being the number one most relevant content, uh, marketplace, right?

Yep. Yeah, I mean, YouTube is, um, I mean, listen, I have, uh, 12 and a 13-year-old daughters at home, and it is definitely, uh, like I, I see their consumption behavior and you know, we talk about Netflix being the largest streaming service. The reality is YouTube is the largest streaming service. That’s right. So, and again, like there are these RMNs are now doing these partnerships with the likes of YouTube, the likes of Pinterest, so they can reach consumers across their entire journey, not just within the ecosystem that’s been created by that retailer, going exactly where the consumers are already and delivering that data, uh, fed kind of, uh, behaviors that we can make sure we’re reaching the right people in the right creative environment

That’s great. So what are the big opportunities and untapped markets? What do you see out there that maybe retailers should be thinking about? Uh, I think we are in the early days of this. Um, I know it’s been around for quite a while, but I do think that as more and more RMNs think about how do they merge the digital and physical experience together, how do you create that connective tissue, um, to engage with those consumers?

How do you influence that last minute of buying and how do you do that? In a way, measurement is a piece that’s being worked on. Like there are pieces of that that are, uh, currently in place that is helping with some of that. Um, it’s not exactly that one-to-one that I think marketers have become accustomed to, but I think in store is a place that a lot of marketers are looking at to try to understand like, you know.

If you go back even before our men’s, the power of an end cap, right? Oh. Like, so I grew up in grocery, like my first job was in a grocery store, you know, stocking shelves. And I knew when we brought the pallet out or we did the end cap, like just how much more product that was going to get moved. And that’s what that digital experience is.

It’s driving that velocity inside that store. So I think in-store, um, is definitely something, an area to watch. The other area that, you know, and I have the benefit that I get to talk to a lot of retailers or RMN partners, I also talk to a lot of CPG manufacturers, but thinking about the non-endemic space, so mm-hmm.

We talk about the evolution of retail media. It’s, you know, naturally you’re thinking, well if the product’s available in store, then they’re probably running advertising. But there’s, there’s a lot of power behind that data already that helps, uh, non-endemic. And I’ll give you an example. So from my time at Trade Desk, uh, we had Walmart, obviously data that was being used for the Walmart DSP.

We had an insurance company that came to us and said, Hey, we’re trying to reach people. Uh, they had niche kind of, um, insurance around boating and motorcycles. And because of the, you know, we could see people that were buying products inside Walmart, whether it be boats for the, or battery boats, uh, pieces for their motorcycles, whatever that might be, that became a way to target those consumers and actually reach people that we knew had a high likelihood I guess, of that they would have that, uh, particular vehicle and then we could actually promote and try to get them to switch to this insurance provider.

That’s fascinating. Yeah, and you know, there’s a good example around McDonald’s. You know, they do the Shamrock shake. If you think about consumption inside the store, people buying like the mint chocolate chip ice cream, or buying any kind of mint, you could actually look at that flavor and say, okay, like we know it’s McDonald’s and now we’re into that Shamrock season.

And now I wanna reach people that have all, have that, um, preferred flavor as they think about all the different things that they’re buying in store and using that. So I think non-endemic and is going to be an area that we’ll continue to see retail media extend beyond. Um, you know, one of the things we have at NIQ is to actually help with that with some of the data that we’re bringing from Consumer Canvas.

So we can actually bring that into an RMN to kind of fill potential gaps that they might have. So, you know, that’s one of the solutions. And, and we are, we have been having lots of conversations already working with few RMNs where we actually can take our data and ingest that there and they can start to use that as a way to fill some of the gaps on the data they may not have.

I think. Well you mentioned consumer canvas, I believe you have like 2,700 different attributes. That’s correct. Yeah. That’s amazing. Again, going back to my earlier point where we, how much transaction data we see, and then from our acquisition of MI Simmons, um, all the psychographic date details that we have where we can actually merge purchase data along with that psychographic to help create, um, targeting that is available in Trade Desk that we, uh, announced a couple months ago, or probably a couple weeks ago now.

Um, but that is another way for marketers to tap into that and, uh, get really detailed, um, targeting that’s precision that, that brings to the table. At the end of the day, marketers, they want to drive business outcomes, right? And like the, the. Like how do they move more product? How do they drive incrementality?

How do they drive sales lift, whatever that might be. And so, as I think about what Consumer Canvas does is it’s an ability to tap into our data and drive that business outcome. And, you know, working with, uh, whoever you might be to access the data, they can help inform what targeting is gonna make the most sense.

So what are some of the winning strategies? What are you seeing? What are the big, like, winning strategies for retailers and brands? Yeah, I think, you know, I think, uh, obviously when you’re running campaigns and you’re running, uh, media, you have to identify what truly you wanna measure. Um, and I think if I, again, go back in time, like we talked a lot about return, uh, roas, which is return on ad spend.

So for every dollar that you invest, what do you drive in terms of return? I think, I hope that most marketers now are starting to think about incrementality, right? Like, what’s my true lift? What’s the sales lift that I can actually see across this? The other winning strategy that I would actually merge with that is thinking about when you’re running with RMNs, what are you not just within that closed loop system of what RMN you might be running on, but what is happening outside of that ecosystem?

So, you know, again, like I’ll refer back to my Amazon days, but when 2017 I was working on the grocery team and we knew that for every dollar that was being sold on Amazon, we there was anywhere from three to $10 being bought offsite. Right. Or somewhere else. And it’s naive, I think, for a marketer to think that when you buy an ad from a Dollar General or me or another RMN to think that all of those experiences or all those ads are just driving sales within that single singular retailer.

So I think they need to be able to look at the whole ecosystem in terms of what the impact those media campaigns have. It’s going to disproportionately shift to the RMN based on the data you’re using. Um, but. Really looking at incrementality, sales lift. Um, those are kind of the core metrics. And then there’s other things that you can look like from new to brand and you know, thinking about incrementality and new to brand, you know, RMNs for the most part, they can see their ecosystem.

And I know this is a metric that a lot of people like to talk about, but if you’re working with R and RMM and you’re a manufacturer, when somebody tells you they’re new to brand, you need to be asking yourself, are they new to brand on your RMN or are you are within your retail platform? Or are you actually new to net brand?

Right? Did that person switch from buying it at Kroger to uh, buying it at another retail location? And if they did, they’re not technically new to brand, they just shifted where they bought that experience. So I think about incrementality and then really kind of digging deeper in some of these other metrics.

The other thing, as you think about our RMNs, I think as they started it was really kind of that lower funnel. Um, as you think about how do I drive that last action? I would say the winning strategy is really looking at full funnel. Hmm. How do you reach people, uh, at, you know, if you think about, if con like this concentric circles and you go out, how do you shift people that are buying snacks to better for you snacks to like this bar, right?

Or these bars? And thinking about how you think about those concentric circles and how you engage with them creatively throughout that journey and moving people through that process. So I would, I think about RMNs more, again, going back to my comment earlier, like the media companies and you should be thinking about how you touch, touch them through that whole experience, that consumer to drive the outcomes that you kind of hope for.

Um, the last thing I would say on this area is, you know, and I’ll talk a little bit about the creative piece. Every RMN and every retailer, for the most part, there’s little nuances to that consumer. Um, you think about mass versus grocery versus convenience store or even dollar stores. How you show up creatively needs to truly be unique to that RMN that you’re working with.

And unfortunately, I always feel like the creative’s kind of that last piece, like if we build really good targeting that’ll perform, there is data that’s supported by, you know, I’ve read different research per papers, but anywhere from 30 to 70% of your performance can be driven via creative. So if you are out there and you’re crew building creative for a mass that’s also being applied to a C-store, I think that that’s a strategy that like you need to take a step back and think about the behavior of that consumer.

You know, you just think about how when somebody walks into convenience store, how long are they in the, the store? How quickly can you connect with them versus, you know, when they might be at a mass or a club even, right? So thinking about how you message differently and tailor that, I think it has a big impact on how to create some strategies.

That’s great advice. And I know the creative is what really is what gets that consumer interested in what it is you are presenting to them. Yeah. The creative is what connects, connects it for the customer in their mind. Right? Yep. And we just, we actually just released about a month and a half ago in partnership with Walmart.

We did the art of the cart, and you can find it on their site or you can find it on our website. We did this data, but we actually do narrow feedback. Uh, there’s varying layers of like, um, uh, testing that we can do about, uh, pre-campaign. But in this instance, we actually, uh, people actually attach, you know, their, to their brains kind of, we look at wavelengths and receptives, like how they react, and we look at emotional connection.

And working with Walmart, we were able to see a 54% increase in brand favor, brand memorability, and then a 31% increase in engagement, which we know are leading indicators of sales lift. So if I’m a marketer and I’m thinking. We know the world is, you know, a little bit, you know, week to week we’re kind of operating right now.

And sometimes marketing budgets are fluid in nature. How do you drive a little bigger bang for your buck? Um, how do you take the same money and drive better outcomes? And using that creative, uh, testing beforehand can help you do that. I’m so excited to have Wendy Lieman here today, and you are so experienced in the world of consumerism, consumer shopping, retail, all of it.

So, um, you are CEO and Founder, chief Shopper. Chief Shopper, yes, indeed. WSL Strategic Alliance? No. Strategic. WSL. Strategic Retail. Strategic Retail. Retail. Okay. It’s a mouthful. We are the shopper people. You are the shopper people. Great. We’re the shopper people. Well, maybe we can start with, uh, telling us a little bit about what you do and what the company does.

Yeah, so our focus from the beginning. Has always been about how do you make sure the shopper is in the room? And by that I mean very easy, particularly these days with so much data. And we have all our own as well, to lose sight of who people really are and what’s important to them in their life. Not just in the category, not just in a retail channel, but what’s important to them and how you keep that very focused when you are beginning to or look for growth, whether you’re looking for, whether it’s products, categories, services, places to sell, all of that.

So all the work we do is really around retail strategy, but it’s all about, um, this notion of is she and he in the room and are you paying attention? So. I love that. And I have to bring up another fun fact about you. ’cause of course I’m affiliated with Fashion Institute of Technology, but you are on the board.

Mm-hmm. I think you might be chair of the board right now. I am Vice Chair. Vice Chair. Chair. Chair of the Vice or something? Yes. For the cosmetics and for fragrance Master’s program at FIC. Yes. So thank you. Oh, listen, it’s a wonderful program. It’s what’s, you already know this because you’re involved with FIT, but this master’s program, because it’s part, uh, it’s, it’s collaborates with the industry.

So bringing the industry and the education together to build new leaders. They’re all, uh, as you probably know in the master’s program, they’re all, um, high potential people who are already working at high levels in the industry. So they come to. Even better. And boy do you learn a lot from them. It’s wonderful

So that’s great. Anyway, well I’m excited ’cause we’re at the NIQ Conference 360 and a big announcement just took place a little while ago, a couple hours ago about Sephora and NIQ partnering together. So I’m dying to hear your thoughts about that. Yeah, I think it’s really exciting. Um, you know, I think Sephora tends to keep to themselves in terms of sharing their, um, approach, uh, to business.

And that’s part of their success, their success, their secret source, if you will. But, you know, from a brand standpoint, um, it’s really been more and more important to have them, particularly in the specialty beauty category or the beauty category at large, where they’ve been driving a lot of the innovation and growth.

So I think the value of having N IQ and Sephora as partners in this will be really powerful. We do in our own how America shops research, which is all our. Ongoing sentiment research. We always look at people who shop at Sephora, so we can track that sentiment, but this is going to be really powerful.

We’re excited because now we’re going to be able to see what the impact is on sales, digital, physical, across the, across the, their, you know, um, ecosystem. So it’s an exciting move. I give, uh, the beauty team at NIQ, great credit and Jacqueline plan and all that. That’s, that’s a feather in their proverbial caps.

Also exciting is you’re doing the panel tomorrow mm-hmm. And you have a very interesting panel of speakers that are joining you. So let’s talk about the panel and then we’ll get into the topic, right? Yeah. Uh, in a minute. Yeah. So I’m one of the panelists, um, and it’s a, it’s an area that we spend some time in, but a lot of people think we only work in the beauty and health, um, verticals.

We also, we, we are we anywhere the shopper is. That may be cars. No, even there, um, automotive. But, you know, we follow the shopper to see the future. So, um, we look at food, beverage, pets, many other categories. And so this is really the, the food and beverage vertical. So this is, we’ve got, um, the CEO of, or sorry, the President Pap Paps, chief Executive Officer of Paps Brewing, which is great.

A a, an old world company that is owned by New World investors. So a whole interesting focus than that. And, uh, Gina Ox, who’s from Gland Performance Nutrition. So they do a lot of work in the, in the ingredient, the health ingredient space. Uh, and so I am bringing the shopper point of view to this whole, uh, discussion about growth quickly.

And, and I’m a bit, sort of counterintuitive sometimes, and again, it’s just that spending time knowledge with shoppers is, it isn’t only about the lowest price. I think that’s a big concern at this moment. The, the logic or the lack of logic of saying, oh, we just need to take our prices down. I think we’re at this point of conversion or per point of inflection.

Inflection. Thank you. Thank you. Inflection. Um, that again, you need to understand the context so you know, this shoppers know where to get the lowest price anywhere, any day, anytime on just about anything, uh, already. And so when you think about, well, the only way to react to these times is chaotic times, um, are to lower prices

Shoppers already there. I mean, they know that whether it’s buying, whether it’s beer or whether it’s beauty products, right? The opportunity now, the inflection now, or the issue now has been that for a long time we’ve used price. Either increases a lot or decreases occasionally, um, to drive traffic to stores, physical and digital.

What we’ve lost our way on is innovation and experience. And so we hear this from shoppers all the time in our, you know, national studies and even in asthma graphic work that, you know, if I can buy anything anywhere, at any price, why am I showing up? Um, it’s not that they’re only looking for the lowest price on things that are just basics.

They don’t, they’ve got a brand, they don’t really care that much about changing. That’s fine. That’s on the list. It’s essentials, it’s fine, but they will spend money, and I don’t mean outrageously, but they will spend on things that have great value, whether it’s something totally unrelated, you know, whether it’s travel or something for the family or a new phone or things like that.

And so I think in the CPG space, particularly in the last few years. We have become a little bit lazy, um, in that level of innovation and experience being delivered. So that’s what I’m gonna talk about tomorrow because I think that it’s, um, if we don’t innovate and if we don’t make the retail experience both, again, I say physical and digital, more compelling, then the race to the bottom is on.

And at this moment when it’s so chaotic, uh, but politically or anything else technologically, socially, um, you know, people are trying to make sense of things and just make their lives easier. And so they will just stick with what they know and not bother with anything else. So I think we’re interesting.

We’re doing a new piece of research called How America Shops in Chaos. So when we think about innovation. What, what, can you gimme some examples or can you talk a little bit about what should innovation look like today? Yeah. Well, I think, you know, you, you need to get, again, my bias, you need to get back to what are, what are people trying to solve for?

One is, one are issues like time, stress, health, um, feeling happy about lives, creating spaces that they feel comfortable in. So just take those few, right? So if I’m going to innovate, it doesn’t necessarily mean a new flavor or a new color. It could actually mean something that’s easier to use or helps me and my family get the day, started, get dinner for tonight, have a little fun in the, you know, weekends.

So it could be around those kinds of things. It could be around solutions in terms of health. I mean, you know, you, you pick a, pick an area like. Look at, look at how people are living their lives and taking care of their parents, right? Taking care of extended families, taking care of neighbors, taking care of, or running two or three jobs.

You know, we live in quite a precious space, most of us in that sense. And so that need to solve for that, whether it’s access to information, being able to think about, I’ve got an elderly parent I’m taking care of, or I’ve got a young child who’s got issues, how do I find solutions for that? Both in product, in service, in speed of information, if I can’t afford to go to that, if I don’t have health coverage, how does a company, whether it’s a, a brand like Poppy who just sold for Squillions and Billions, but it’s a healthier product, right?

And it feels good, all of those sorts of things. So I think those kinds of areas, rather than an ingredient or a package size or a color or a. Fill in the blank. Become really, really important today and really huge opportunities I think, in all of that. And I think people are looking for just happy, happy moments.

I mean, you know, little treats, we see that in beauty where people just ha think about a brand like Elf. There’s a brand that’s, you know, had phenomenal success over the last few years. And you see a brand like Elf, it’s also got a, it’s not just cheap, it’s not sorry or inexpensive. It’s also got a point of view.

You like it or you don’t. Uh, they innovate on product. They’re fun when it comes to the way they tell their story, uh, that, you know, there’s just, there’s more to it than, um, a singular point of view or a singular component to their success. So I think that’s where there’s huge opportunity now in creating that.

And then of course, retail experiences, you know, people are buying Click online. What does that physical experience actually look like when you walk into a place, whether it’s the grocery store or whether it’s a, you know, beauty shop. So I think there’s just, we, we have to really realign ourselves and not just think about, this is a, just only an economic issue.

It’s a technological issue. You know, it’s a social issue. I mean, that’s a sweet space, space for us. So hence my passion. So I have always been a big proponent of the physical retail space. Mm-hmm. Uh, I swear like 10, 15 years ago when people were saying, oh, physical stores are dead, the store’s dead. Brick and mortar’s dead.

I just tell enough people that wasn’t the case. Right. Um, so going in fast forwarding into the next 10 years mm-hmm. Tell me your view on the physical space and, well, you talked about this experience mm-hmm. And how important that will become in the next. Five, 10 years. Yeah. Yeah. You know, I think it’s so much this ability to not just think about the, when we talk about experience, it’s not just the glam, sparkling, whatever, shining, flashing, light experience.

Um, it is that experience of connecting with people one to one. You know, we think about it in everything from, you know, you probably think about yourself, I think about how I shop for groceries. So I buy online the essentials. I bought click, click, click, and they get to the house in two minutes and it’s like, well two hours and there they are.

Right? I don’t innovate around that ’cause I have my list, right? But I also have a grocery store that I go to. ’cause I know the woman who’s in the flower department where I buy my flowers. I know the cheese lady. I know the woman who’s in the freezer cabinet, who also crochets, um, whose things I buy from her.

So that experience has been much more about a community and connecting. Now my, my. My money is split now ’cause it’s not the same company. Mm-hmm. So I’m not spending as much in one place, I’m now splitting it. But they both fill a really important role. So I think people in the store, the right people in the right place, I think about everything from healthcare and please getting the pharmacist out from behind the counter.

Um, please get a nutritionist, you know, to be able to talk to me about healthier food options if I’m in the grocery store. Use technology, you know, there’s a lot of virtual assistants that can do that. So I think it’s stepping back and saying, okay, how are we going to embrace what the shopper needs in their life and how do we let them connect to real, live people in a way that’s useful, not just stocking the shelves and how do we

Help them have an efficient experience when they’re, it’s 11 o’clock at night and they forgot the kids crafting stuff for school the next day. And it’s literally click here. Thank you Amazon. Um, on my podcast, you can edit this out. Um, I had, uh, the head of, uh, health and wellness pharmacy for Walmart the other day.

And Nice. And really he, you know, talking about, you know, the technology efficiencies, the ability to be more in the community, underserved communities, absolutely. All of that, just in the, in the grocery arc, getting healthier food options. So that’s another area that is just so ripe for transformation. Um, and I think that’s the exciting point about where we are, whether it’s fashion, you know, or whether it’s food or whether it’s medicine or beauty.

There’s so much going now because we have the technology to inform and the technology to make things easier. And people are very facile. I say looking at my phone using this regardless of age. Um, and people are willing to, consumers as shoppers are willing to do all their homework. They just need to have trusted sources, trusted places that they can go to, to build out their own very personal shopping experience.

So to me, it’s really exciting to see what the next 5, 6, 7, 8 years will look like. So I think that’s exciting. Wedding. And tell our listeners the name of your podcast so they can in Of course. Thank you. Thank you. Aren’t you kind? It’s called Future Shop. As in Future Shop. My Australian accent gets me in the way.

So you can find it under WSL Strategic Retail. You can find it under Future Shop. It’s on Spotify, apple, our website, all of the above. But it’s really where we talk about, or I talk about, you know, how people’s vision of the future in very pragmatic ways. I think the biggest challenge we have in the marketing side mm-hmm.

Is that there’s so much content out there strategically. Now it’s not about creating a lot of content, right? It’s figuring out what’s the right content, when should it be delivered, right? ’cause you don’t wanna overwhelm the consumer either, right? That’s exactly right. And how can I put myself, my shopper hat on and how can I, to your point, not be overwhelmed, get what I ask for or suggested what I may not have thought to ask for.

Um, and I think that’s really important. It’s very much the same in all the data. I mean, here we are at a conference of, of an extraordinary, many year old organization that’s supplied data for years, right? And add to these people, every other data source that’s out there. So in this time of big data, we are missing, often missing the small data.

We’re missing, you know, the insight. So I always say, I’ve always said over these years, we are not a research company. And, and we have, my team looks at me like that. We do research. I say, yeah, yeah. A lot of people. It’s about what does it tell us? I don’t just wanna know, 33% of people stood on their right foot.

What I really wanna know is why and what, what does that mean? And what’s the next question to ask? And the next question to ask. So I think we are getting also to a point, and I, AI is just gonna enhance this both positively and negatively. We are gonna have this slew of more and more and more data that if we don’t train people to be smarter thinkers and more insightful as to what connections go with what, then we are just gonna have a lot of, a lot more data that’s gonna overwhelm us.

So I think that’s another piece that may come out of the AI revolution that we’re in the middle of at this moment. I agree. You know, I just think for me, this is really an exciting time. I’ve been doing this for some, some time, um, and in chaotic times like this, I. I find the only true north is to talk to people, talk to consumers as they shop, to understand what’s on their mind.I will use the example of the, not to get political of the election. I made a speech, uh, to an industry group last December in New York and I said to them, I’m not really gonna tell you anything you don’t know, but I’m gonna tell you we are not listening. And whatever your political point of view was, the fact that there were a lot of people in this country, politically or anything else who are not happy economically, feel like they’re not heard, is a big call out to anybody in a CPG space, in a, in a brand space, in a retail space.

Because we are just getting buried in our screens and our data and we’re not listening. And so I think to me, that’s both the greatest opportunity at the moment. Again, not political, just listen to people and understanding. They need. That’s just opens the doors for so many other things. I’m so excited to be here with Craig Dubiski.

Did I say that correctly? Sounded Dki. Doky Dub. Yep. Dubiski. Yeah. Um, and you have a fascinating background. You are a founder of a couple different companies and so we’re gonna talk about that in a second. Okay. And we’re here at the NIQ conference and you were a judge in the pitch slam. Yes. A judge with no judgment.

Yes. We don’t, uh, we don’t believe in judgment, but yes, yes, there was, there was good, some good judging, uh, of some really, really exceptional young companies. So it’s really a treat. Yeah. It’s great to see. And so you’re the founder of Happy I Am. Which is a coffee brand. Yeah. Along with my, I have a co-founder.

Yes, you do have a co-founder. Yeah. I gotta give him full props. He’s great. Um, tell us who your co-founder is. Our list name? Robert. Yeah. Robert Downey Jr. This is his name. Um. He’s, he is the best. He’s great. That’s great. So what’s interesting about your coffee is typically coffee’s a transaction, right? You go in, you get a cup of coffee, there’s a transaction, but not for you because you’ve created this whole idea of wellness.

And tell me a little bit about the inspiration for why you created Happy. Sure. Um, one day I was talking with Robert early on from, you know, we didn’t have any product yet. We were, we were just really in like concept mode basically. And we had some renderings, we had some 3D models and we were putting all these different pieces together.

And we had, we had done work on supply chain and who our partners were gonna be. And we, it’s not like we hadn’t done any of the nitty gritty stuff. We’d done a lot of the nitty gritty stuff and we had already trademarked the word Happy and Robert just says to me, we’re on FaceTime, I think was the, it doesn’t matter what the video platform was, but anyway, I think it was FaceTime and um, and he just goes, you know.

I get, you know, happy I, I, I get it, but like, not everybody’s happy. What can we do about that? I wonder if there’s something we do about that. And I turned around and sitting behind me on the couch was my bride and she’s a PhD in clinical psychology. Oh, nice. Yes. I married up in so many ways, so many ways.

Um, and for those of you who are just listening to this, you’re very lucky. You don’t have to look at me. But anyway, um, I married up literally like full stop. Oh my word. I’m the luckiest person you just met basically. So, um, my lovely bride is sitting behind me and I said, honey, who’s doing anything at scale that’s incredible around mental health?

And she did not miss a beat. And she goes, oh, nami. And I said, oh, what’s nami? She goes, oh, national Lifetime Mental Illness. So I’m sitting with Robert on my screen and I open up a browser and I type in, you know, NAMI and search. I read all this amazing stuff about NAMI and I use, you know, I use, I use the tools at my disposal, I use the Google, I use the LinkedIn, and, uh, I make my way to a connection eventually, you know, three away, two away, one away at nami.

And I basically convince someone to gimme some time in Arlington, Virginia, outside of DC at their headquarters. And I go down and have a big, uh, nice group of senior folks from NAMI in the room. And I explain a little bit about what we want to do and some things that we’ve been a part of in the past.

And, and I wanted to learn more about what they do too. ’cause you don’t just wanna go in and do all the talking. And I learned some incredible data points that like, give me a little, like pause for, for, you know, you’ll, you’ll hear what they are and you’ll understand why I’m getting a little choke up. But.

One in five adults have some form of mental illness. Illness. I like DSM four, like clinical kind of stuff. Not like, oh, my trip got postponed and I’m sad. That’s all real. I don’t wanna discount anyone’s feelings. But I mean, like clinical grade, right? One out of five have some form of mental illness and of adults, the suicide rate has gone up 30% in the past 20 years.

80% are men now. Um, not that that should make a any difference. It’s just a a just a another data point, right? Um, when I was a child, the number one killer of teens were car accidents. And number two is leukemia. Childhood leukemia. So cancer, which I’m very glad, we’ve made great strides in auto safety and in, uh, cancer research.

That’s important. Full stop. Number one killer of teens now is handguns, and number two is suicide. And often they go together. So hearing these very sobering, very, you know. Sad numbers. These are just factual numbers. Um, definitely had a really important impact on, on me and how we think, and I can share this hand on heart because it’s a true story or set of scenarios that played out even today.

So every day since we announced this thing, January 30th of last year is when we announced coming soon we’re gonna do this thing called happy, and we just sort of teased it out every single day. Since that day, I have either heard from someone who I thought I knew really well, a story of mental health that’s a challenging one, or someone who I just met that tells me a mental health story that will make your, you know, your heart stop.

And, uh, for a second. So, even earlier today in the, you know, in the judge’s room, I heard from somebody, you know, a story of mental health that, oh, I, you know, last night someone of some notes took their life. So every day I hear these stories. And I, in all honesty, I’m always honest, so I shouldn’t have to qualify it.

But, um, yeah, I hear these things every day. And what I said one day to our team was, a lot of brands talk about this is our purpose, this is our mission, and it’s very, our, our, it’s very me, me, me, us, us, us. Mm-hmm. And what I said was, this affects everybody. So this isn’t about our mission, our purpose, this is about our collective responsibility.

How do we take stigma away? ’cause mental health is health. And you know, if, if you said someone were mental before, that was, that was a grave insult, right? Um, if people were off or they were set. Oh, like they’re depressed. Oh, that’s a depressive. Oh, I’m not interested. Like people were viewing this stuff as very negative, which I understand.

But there are ways to help people. There’s real hope and there’s real help. And NAMI does incredible work and it’s free. Wow. And one of the most amazing things about nami, I think I turned my phone off, but I can show you this. Yeah, I have to do not disturb, but, um, let’s see if this will work. Hey Siri. I feel depressed.

Look at that. Yeah, NAMI shows up. That’s fantastic. Yeah. Um, so Nami, for those of you listening at home, um, I don’t have my volume on my phone, but I said to SIRI so I don’t activate anyone’s phone or computer who might be listening, uh, that I felt depressed. And information about NAMI shows up and in the health app, the icon looks like a little heart.

Um, all the mental health stuff is powered by nami. Uh, yeah, they developed 9, 8 8, which is the 9 1 1 for mental health. And it, you know, they’re just this incredible organization. So learning more about what they do, that they were started in the Midwest, I think it’s about 46 years ago. By two sets of parents that had children that had mental health challenges.

And back then there were no resources to the same extent that we have today. At least not the same. And clearly the stigma back then was, was, you know, much worse. Uh, so they started NAMI and fast forward there were over 600 chapters and it’s amazing the work that they do. So we didn’t wanna do something that was performative and like, oh, last month May was mental health awareness month.

If you or someone you care about has a mental health issue, every month is mental health month. If you’re LGBTQ plus, now it’s pride month, right? If you’re LGBTQ plus every waking second or sleeping second is pride month or minute or nanosecond for you. So the idea that you could be performative as a brand or try to co-opt the goodwill of a group of people or an organization tasked with helping or providing a voice for folks just didn’t sit right with us.

So. We thought, well, how do we make sure we don’t do something performative? And also like, are there things we could do, certainly to try to help NAMI and try to help remove stigma, but also try to reimagine this relationship between entrepreneurship and philanthropy? Like how would that work? Mm-hmm. So, very long story short, we partnered with nami and one of the things we said was, well, like what’s troubling you?

And they said, the number one thing they hear from people is, if only I’d known about you sooner. Oh. So we said, well, that’s an awareness issue. We could help with that. What if, what if we put information about no in every package we put out in the world? And they were like, you would do that? Yeah, we do that.

We do that tomorrow. We haven’t launched yet. Like we’re planning. Like yeah, we’ll do that and we’re gonna have distribution all over the place. So we said, yeah, we wanna do that. And what if we put a QR code and what if we put a toll free phone number? So on every pack, literally there’s a QR code. Well, let’s say you don’t have a phone with a camera.

Not everyone does. Even though we. Everyone, we, you and I are looking at our phones. I’m sure we do. Not everyone does. So there’s a toll free number. There’s a QR code, there’s information. It’s not heavy handed. It’s not like a, you know, it, it, it has a very prominent place, but it’s not the, you know, it’s not everything.

We’re not trying to be overly right. Heavy about it. Um, so we did that and then the next thing we did was we decided to give NAMI a piece of the company. Wow. So Nami, that’s amazing. Yeah. NAMI’s on our cap table. NAMI owns a piece of the company. Yeah. So we thought that would be really important and certainly would align things in much more than just, you know, oh, it’s like I said, mental health awareness month.

It’s like, no, you’re on the cap table, you’re part of the company. You own a piece of our business, so we wanna do that from the jump. So it wasn’t, again, like reactionary or um, uh. I don’t wanna say anyone who partners with anybody who’s inauthentic. That’s not fair. Of course. It, it’s just different companies and different brands have different life phases and NAMI certainly has lots of corporate partners and that’s incredible because they bring incredible value and awareness.

So we were just in the fortunate position of being at the most nascent stage. Mm-hmm. And having a real sense of what was going on in the world and knowing that a lot of people were not that happy. So, and, and we called it happy, um, ’cause my wife loves coffee and I was like, coffee makes her happy, but happy could make her coffee.

And that’s how it really got started. So some of that work was done before I got introduced to Robert and then, you know, he helped me, you know, we’re partners, we took it to another place together. I love it. That’s an amazing story. And it’s so funny ’cause I was just thinking the other day. When I travel a lot, I have my little routine with my coffee.

Mm-hmm. Uh, but when I travel, I get off routine of the coffee and everything. Do you take things with you? Well, it depends if I’m going on a plane or going in a car, it’s the whole thing. But, um, so I just got back from traveling. Mm-hmm. And like, I, I like the night before, I’m like, I’m gonna be so happy tomorrow morning.

Happy. Because I’m gonna get up and have my coffee. Yes. The way that I like to have my coffee. That’s, that’s, that’s amazing. Well, so hopefully you’ll get some, I think we have a, a bunch here. I have. Oh, you get some? I have. I tried it this morning. Oh good. And it’s fantastic. Yeah. People can’t believe it instant, so.

Oh, I can’t believe it. Yeah. We have instant coffee that’s like, shockingly surprisingly magnificently great. And people are just stunned that instant Wait, instant coffee that tastes amazing. Like, how’s that possible? Just a little fun tidbit. It’s best, it’s literally specifically blended so you can use a hot or cold.

I didn’t know that. Yeah. Excellent. So it’s, it’s, I’ll have to try, try cold. It’s a little, it’s a little pro tip. Yeah. So if you just want iced coffee that’s. Literally just put in your water bottle and you’re, you’re good to go. And you done oh’s. Great. I love it. It’s really good. So I, you know, I was all over your website looking at your product, everything, looking at the packaging and everything.

And what I noticed was you kind of have this like, quirky marketing. Like a, one of my favorite things was, we’re picky and we give a sip. Yeah. Like, that’s hysterical. And then I looked at all your company people and how you describe, like, tell me about this marketing that you’ve developed. Um, I think it’s, you know, it’s interesting ’cause I hear you say your marketing and it’s more just like how we are.

So I think, um, being, being in an early stage company and being a founder, I basically, like, I have to write pretty much all the copy in the beginning. Like, you have to dream stuff up, you have to make stuff up. It’s acio, just, you know, woo, just willy-nilly. I’m gonna make stuff up. So people tend to go like, well, well, like, where’d you get your brand voice from?

It’s like, well, it’s kind of. Good or bad right now. The line share of it is, is, you know, comes from me. And then what happens is as your company adds more people, they all pick up on it. And I tell everybody like, I’m the founder, but I’m like, you’re all founders. Like in the beginning, everybody adds and makes things better.

That’s what makes it so much fun. And that’s what helps you get through the stuff that’s really hard. ’cause it’s not all fun and games. It’s hard, right? It’s hard. But when you’re having a good time and you love each other and you trust each other, and you could say, well this is like what we think the brand should feel and sound like because it’s us talking amongst each other.

It’s not like some artificial arms length thing. It’s really like an extension of us as people. Um, so it’s very natural. It’s not like, you know, we outsource soul. We have, you know, this, this bunch of, you know, really great XY year old people that are cool. They have, you know, animals in the office and, you know, uh, you know, shuffleboard and pinball machines and fruits ball, and they do the cool stuff and we sit back and crunch numbers.

It’s like, no, we’re, we crunch numbers, but we, we do all the other stuff too. Like, we love each other. And I think, um, the culture that we have because of the respect and love we have for each other comes through in the product. And you know what’s gonna happen is with the marketing piece, you’re absolutely right.

With AI coming in, doing a lot of the marketing, oh boy, you’re absolutely right. There is gonna be, the competition isn’t gonna be the marketing. ’cause you’re never gonna win that game. It’s like, if I think about music or movies, which for a lot of people, those are very important things in their life, right?

Because it’s storytelling or soundtrack. Those are, you know, there’s emotional hooks involved. Where were you when you heard that song? Oh my God, that lyric, you know, has stayed with me my whole life. I, you know, there’s a lot of emotion around that stuff. Yeah. When you think about it, no one really says, oh, did you see.

I only watch Amazon Prime movies. I only watch Netflix movies. I only watch max movies. Oh no. Now it’s HBO. Again, I only watch HBO movies. I only watch. It’s like, no, you like, you don’t care about the delivery system. Like I don’t care if it comes to me, whatever it is that I ordered through Amazon, Walmart plus Target, you know, circle, oh it’s, it’s buy online, pick up its store.

Like it doesn’t, it doesn’t matter if it comes to me through a carrier pigeon, an Uber driver, a Lyft driver, a bird scooter rider, you know, I don’t care how it gets to me. D-H-L-U-S-P-S-U-P-S. Like those things. That’s so true. It, I care about the thing that I got. So a lot of people focus on like, well, this is where we sell.

This is our route to market, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. And I’m like, well, tell me about. At the end of the day, all that other stuff I think is somewhat fungible the same way. Like, I don’t care which movie studio produced the movies. It’s so funny, my husband and I constantly, we go to watch our show and I’m always saying, oh, is that on HBO?

Is it on? I don’t remember Prime? Where was it? Netflix? Like, I don’t even remember. So, so the new reality is everyone’s trying to own you, right? By saying, well, we have this show, we have this brand, we have this exclusive on this brand. You know, so, ’cause they kind of have to, right? Because at the end of the day, if you have wifi and your TV is wifi enabled, you can, you can get to just about anything, right?

And now you have a smart remote and you could say, Hey, I wanna watch this. And it goes to the platform for you. You may not even know’s if it, if it’s Hulu’s, Amazon, you know, Netflix, HBO, fill in the blank. You know, there’s so many others. Disney, I don’t mean to alienate anybody, leave anybody off the list.

Um, yeah, that’s, so it goes back to like, well what’s the thing? You know, like, I love that. I love that actor, actress. I love that musician. I love that song. I love that play. Whatever. It’s, um, yeah, the delivery system and the platform is gonna be, I think, somewhat, uh, challenged and that’s why they come up with new models, right?

Right. Like, oh, we have to get this talent on this network and not on this one. Mm-hmm. And, you know, everyone’s got a limited time off or thing. And you know, because we’re so starved for everyone’s attention as brand holders, we gotta figure out how do we get, you know, our audience to solely pay attention to our thing, even if it’s for a little bit of time.

The other thing we’re really excited about, which I haven’t really done a lot of talking about in general, not just with with you, is where and how we source the coffee. So, um, coffee’s a commodity and our thinking is that people are not. So it’s very fascinating to to us that when we look at other coffee brands and what people do, they talk about origin and you know, it’s mountain growing coffee.

All coffee grows on a mountain. There’s no valley growing coffee. There’s no intergalactic coffee yet. It’s so hot. There’s no hydroponic coffee. I mean, I’m sure these things are being worked on, but how did I miss that? Oh my god. It’s incredible, right? Yeah. So we’re really obsessed with, with people and people write their narratives through their stuff and we gotta figure out how to get people better stuff.

So when it came to sourcing the coffee, we were really particular Robert in, Robert in particular was very particular. ’cause he’s a major coffee drinker. Mm-hmm. And like aficionado. And we could line up five coffees from different elevations and he could What bank order them? Yeah. He’s a coffee salon.

He’s really, really, that’s amazing. Really. Seriously, no joke into coffee. So we spend a lot of time on, on the blends and sourcing. So our coffee for the most part. Comes from about 3000 farms and they’re all small grower farms. They’re two to five acre farms. Yeah, that’s great. And this is a amazing number.

They, these farms on a commercial farming basis for coffee represent 2.4e-05% of commercial coffee growers. So it’s a really very distinct group of growers. And right now we’re sourcing from seven countries. Most are in South America, but we also have a bunch of randan growers that we sprinkle in Randan coffee.

’cause those growers are all women. And they’re all women because there was mass genocide and all these men were killed in Rwanda. And by the way, it’s incredibly flavorful, lovely coffee. We’re not doing it just, you know, at the expense of, of the coffee’s flavor. No, we’re doing it ’cause it enhances the coffee flavor and we’re helping support all these female growers in Rwanda.

So. Stuff like that, um, hasn’t even really come out yet. We were just in Columbia with a bunch of our growers. We worked with NAMI and created a mental health program for women growers in Columbia that we work with. Oh, that’s so great. Yeah. It’s um, it’s important and you have to go. Like, we went. It wasn’t, you know, we didn’t phone it in.

We didn’t say, we’ll, hold up a phone and We’ll, you know, we’ll, we’ll use video chat. Like, no, we, you go, you go. So, yeah, we’re very fortunate. Thank you for listening and I hope you enjoyed hearing from our participants today. Let us know if you like the Roundup format. We can do more of these for upcoming conferences.

Thank you for listening to Retail Unwrapped. We’ll be back in one week with another podcast. Please subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or any podcast service. If you have questions, ideas for a podcast or anything else, please contact us via the robin reports.com.

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AI Is Coming for Retail Marketing https://therobinreport.com/ai-is-coming-for-retail-marketing/ Wed, 11 Jun 2025 04:01:00 +0000 https://therobinreport.com/?p=97724 retail marketingAI is reshaping retail marketing with behavior targeting, predictive models, and DToCs, urging RMNs to evolve or risk becoming obsolete.]]> retail marketing

For retail marketers, especially those leading Retail Media Networks (RMNs), the implications of Mark Zuckerberg’s prediction that the age of traditional Segmentation, Targeting, and Positioning (STP) marketing may soon be over are profound. In a recent interview with Stratechery and in commentary covered by The Verge, Meta’s CEO described a near future in which AI systems autonomously manage the entire advertising process, eliminating the need for human-led traditional segmentation, creative development or measurement.

“You don’t need any creative, you don’t need any targeting demographic, you don’t need any measurement, except to be able to read the results that we spit out,” Zuckerberg asserted. If AI can outperform traditional segmentation and targeting, is STP still relevant? Or are we standing at the threshold of a retail marketing reset, driven by hyper-personalization, predictive behavior models, and AI-curated discovery?

Retailers are uniquely positioned to develop DToCs because of their direct access to rich, omnichannel first-party data. By offering advertisers access to ethically built, privacy-compliant DToCs, RMNs can deliver hyper-personalized targeting with greater transparency and brand safety compared to black-box big tech models.

The AI Model

Demographic traits are becoming secondary indicators; behavioral signals are the new marketing unlock. At the heart of Zuckerberg’s vision is a decisive shift away from demographic targeting, age, gender, income and location, toward dynamic behavior-based targeting. AI models no longer rely on advertisers specifying segments like “women 18-34 interested in fitness.” Instead, the platform detects conversion-ready consumers based on browsing patterns, purchase history, and real-time engagement signals.

As detailed by The Verge, Zuckerberg’s concept of “infinite creative” envisions AI continuously generating and testing new ad variations, optimizing on the fly. Advertising becomes a machine-led outcome engine: input objectives, connect your budget, and AI does the rest.

Retail Media Networks: Evolve or Risk Obsolescence

Retailers have built multi-billion-dollar RMNs. Amazon Ads, Walmart Connect, Target Roundel and others sell curated audience segments to brands. But if AI platforms deliver superior real-time targeting without rigid segments, RMNs face some existential questions:

  • Can they pivot from static audience segmentation to real-time predictive modeling?
  • Can they match the promise of AI-driven, outcome-based personalization?
  • Can they provide dynamic creative optimization at scale?

On the plus side, retailers possess a strategic advantage: first-party transaction data. By investing in AI engines that harness this data for predictive, behavior-based marketing, RMNs can remain relevant, and even lead the next evolution of personalized retail media through technologies like Digital Twins of the Customer (DToC).

Leveraging DToC: The Next Frontier

To future-proof their value propositions, Retail Media Networks must move beyond static segmentation and even traditional first-party data modeling toward building DToCs. A DToC is a real-time digital replica of a customer, integrating their purchase history, browsing behavior, loyalty activity, context signals, and predictive intent patterns into a continuously evolving profile. Unlike static demographics, DToCs offer dynamic, individual-level personalization that evolves as the customer’s behavior changes.

Retailers are uniquely positioned to develop DToCs because of their direct access to rich, omnichannel first-party data. By offering advertisers access to ethically built, privacy-compliant DToCs, RMNs can deliver hyper-personalized targeting with greater transparency and brand safety compared to black-box big tech models.

Moreover, as consumer discovery shifts toward AI-driven platforms, DToC architectures allow retailers to serve predictive, contextually relevant offers across search, social, voice, and conversational commerce channels. Investing in DToC infrastructure may enable RMNs not only to match the AI-powered hyper-targeting capabilities of platforms, but to surpass them by offering brands deeper insights, greater accountability, and measurable incremental value.

The Rise of LEO

A second marketing revolution is also underway: the migration from SEO (Search Engine Optimization) to LEO (LLM Engine Optimization). As Business Insider reports, consumers increasingly discover brands via AI-powered assistants like ChatGPT, Gemini, and Perplexity. Brands must now optimize for conversational AI discovery, not just keyword search rankings. In a LEO-driven world:

  • Brands must create structured, rich contextual content that answers user queries
  • Product data must be optimized for ingestion by AI discovery systems
  • The top-of-funnel is increasingly happening inside AI agents, not Google

Retailers and RMNs must ensure that their product catalogs and brand storytelling are discoverable in AI-generated answers, or risk losing early-stage consumer attention.

Hyper-Personalization: Brand Promise or Peril?

Zuckerberg’s AI-driven vision promises:

  • Infinite personalized ads
  • Predictive product recommendations
  • Frictionless, individualized shopping journeys

However, as CMSWire and others note, hyper-personalization carries risks. Infinite creativity without human oversight could fracture brand identity, leading to disjointed customer experiences. As The Verge warns, automating the entire creative and targeting process risks eroding the core human connection between brands and consumers. Moreover, Inc. reports that overly personalized advertising often leads to consumer backlash rather than loyalty. To succeed, brands must build brand-tuned AI models: proprietary LLMs fine-tuned to their voice, values, and customer standards.

The Strategic Playbook for Retailers

Leading brands and RMNs must adapt across several dimensions:

  • AI Driven Personalization with Guardrails: Use first-party data to enable personalization, but preserve brand identity with proprietary AI models.
  • Optimize for LEO: Structure content and metadata for AI assistant discovery.
  • Omnichannel AI Advertising: Connect personalized experiences across all digital and in-store touchpoints.
  • Monitor Brand Trust: Balance personalization with authenticity; measure effectiveness to ensure relevance, not intrusion.

Traditional STP frameworks are being rewritten. Segmentation is shifting to real-time behavioral modeling and targeting is becoming AI-optimized. Positioning is more vital than ever to differentiate, and discovery is moving from Google to generative AI. Retailers and brands that adapt, leveraging AI’s personalization potential without sacrificing brand coherence, will thrive in this new ecosystem. Meta may be leading the end of STP as we knew it. But for those ready to evolve, AI isn’t the end of marketing, it’s the beginning of a smarter, faster, more dynamic future.

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Brian Cornell: The Sequel? https://therobinreport.com/brian-cornell-the-sequel/ Mon, 02 Jun 2025 04:01:00 +0000 https://therobinreport.com/?p=97703 brian cornellTarget faces major challenges, and while Brian Cornell once saved it, the company now needs a bold new leader to spark another transformation.]]> brian cornell

First things first: Brian Cornell has been an incredible CEO at Target for most of his time leading the retail chain since he joined in 2014. People forget how lost Target was a decade ago and what Cornell did to rebuild the company and turn it into perhaps the best retailer in America for much of his stint. But that was then…and this is now. Whatever he accomplished — and granted it was a lot — is history at this point and the company needs to bring in a new leader who will do the kinds of things Cornell did during his first few years at Target. And it needs to do this now.

Finding the next Brian Cornell will not be easy. In September 2022 when things were still pretty good (comparatively), Cornell signed for three more years on the job. That’s why the idea of a successor coming before the end of the year is not implausible.

Target Practice

 If you’ve been paying even the slightest bit of attention you don’t need to be reminded of the long litany of problems Target is dealing with these days. Operational issues seem to create perpetual — and unacceptable — out-of-stocks in all the stores. Tired merchandising ideas that may have looked good on a spreadsheet have rarely held up in the stores. Of course, the DEI controversies seem to consume Target management no matter which way they try to get out of them

Target is a mess. Its stock is down 40 percent since the start of the year and even worse, 50 percent, since this time a year ago. In the meantime, Cornell seems to be roaming the halls of Minneapolis headquarters, and when he can finally find someone there (according to vendors the company has one of the worst back-to-office rates of any retailer in the country) he’s looking for scapegoats.

The latest target is Christina Hennington, a 20-year Target lifer who was chief strategy and growth officer and who some people thought was on the shortlist to get Cornell’s job at some point. She hasn’t been the only one who has appeared to have been pushed out, but certainly, she was the most prominent.

Getting bumped up was COO Michael Fiddelke who will now head what is being called the “enterprise acceleration office” which sounds suspiciously like a Musk-ian DOGE initiative put in place by the current Trump administration. And if you’re thinking “enterprise acceleration” is something that the CEO should be doing, you’re not alone.

In the meantime, Cornell keeps saying Target needs to be better but doesn’t seem to be taking much responsibility for the current predicament the company finds itself in. In a recent infamous letter to employees (it really is time to get rid of this disingenuous “team member” thing, don’t you think?) Cornell did a non-mea culpa and said everyone must do better. We assume that includes him though you wouldn’t necessarily know it by the language he used.

Retro Target

When Cornell joined Target in the summer of 2014, he was 55 years old and had spent a decent part of his career in the food and grocery business. He was CEO of PepsiCo’s America Foods operation overseeing Frito-Lay and Quaker Oats among other famous names. Before that, he was largely on the retail side, running Sam’s Club and prior to that, Michaels. 

Even as someone who might not have been on everyone’s bingo card as the successor to Gregg Steinhafel and the first outsider to run the business going all the way back to its founding as a startup at Dayton’s Department Stores, he brought a good working knowledge of big box retailing and specifically groceries, an area in which Target was increasingly falling behind its closest competitor Walmart.

To be polite, he inherited a massive trainwreck when he took over. Ironically it was every bit as daunting as the current dilemma the company finds itself in. Its merchandising had become stale and safe with too many legacy brands that were no longer exemplifying its positioning as the cheap chic place to shop. Then there was Steinhafel’s ill-fated move into Canada, buying up the leaseholds of 220 Zellers stores with the aim of converting about 100-150 into Targets. In the process, he helped make Hudson Bay Co. owner Richard Baker even richer and look even smarter — one of which was way easier than the other.

In theory, moving north made a lot of sense, Walmart had done it with great success but apparently, everyone forgot to read the small print. The Zellers stores were too small, too old and too out of the way and Target’s one-size-fits-all North American merchandising strategy was a disaster.

And then there was the massive data breach that hit an estimated 40 million credit card holders. They weren’t the only big company whacked with this kind of thing but the way Target handled it is classic Harvard B-School Case Study material (assuming Harvard stays in business).

Super Brian Cornell

In 2014, once he located his parking space and figured out the name of that dog mascot (you know, Bullseye), Cornell got to work. Fewer than six months on the job, he shut down Canada taking a massive $5.4 billion hit but figuring that was nothing compared to what it would have taken to turn around the operation up there. To expand what was still a sub-par ecommerce business, he bought Shipt, the same-day delivery service, which turned out to be even more valuable during the pandemic of the early 2020s. 

On the merchandising front, he 86’d many of the dusty private label programs, replacing them with fresh names like Joanne Gaines of Magnolia Home and a big Disney exclusive program. He signed a deal with Ulta for shop-in-shops strengthening a perennially weak classification for mass merchants. On the food side, he expanded Target’s private label offerings and worked to apply its cheap chic positioning from general merchandise to grocery, CPG and HBA assortments.

While all of this was going on, Cornell made what many view as his most brilliant move: With massive spending outlays in the works and a lot of markdowns about to hit, he went to Wall Street and essentially said, ”Hey, listen, fellows, our stock is going to suck for a while and you’re not going to see a whole of improvement in our financial performance for at least a year or three. But be patient.” As those who loathe surprises, investors cut Cornell a bunch of slack and didn’t punish Target in what could have been a very ugly time as Cornell took the long view and played out his long-haul strategy.

We all know what happened next. Target started improving and then it really started improving. Its stores looked terrific, full of exciting, on-trend products, marketed through trendy TV commercials and great branding. Target stock, which was floating around $61 a share when Cornell arrived went as high as $260 and change in the spring of 2021.

In hindsight that appears to have been the high-water mark; the past four years have shown a slow and mostly steady slide down to its current level at just under $100 a share. Walmart’s share price essentially doubled over the same four-year period.

Cornell Redux

Finding the next Brian Cornell will not be easy. In September 2022 when things were still pretty good (comparatively), Cornell signed for three more years on the job. That’s why the idea of a successor coming before the end of the year is not implausible.

Who that will be exactly is much harder to deduce. Certainly, if they go with an internal candidate Fiddelke is the guy but the board has to be thinking that these times dictate a more daring choice. Then again after watching the Ashley Buchanan debacle at Kohl’s, they may want to go with a safer choice, somebody they know and trust.

You would think the retail leader CEO bullpen is well stocked with all the recent retail closings. Of course, someone with a tainted track record of being associated with a loser brand is not a great choice either. Curiously the Target board is a little light on retail experience — Safeway and CVS are really the only relevant resumes among the directors. So, if they decide to go outside the Target bench, we might see a dark horse choice, much like Cornell was at 11 years ago. Whomever they choose, here’s the thing: Target needs a Brian Cornell…just not this Brian Cornell.

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The Tariff Storm: Navigating the Harsh Inequity of Global Trade https://therobinreport.com/the-tariff-storm-navigating-the-harsh-inequity-of-global-trade/ Fri, 16 May 2025 04:01:00 +0000 https://therobinreport.com/?p=97652 Tariff inequityRetailers face tariff chaos as sectors adapt unevenly—apparel shows resilience while small businesses struggle amid shifting global trade policies.]]> Tariff inequity

Regardless of the flipflops of the Trump administration’s trade policies, retailers are operating in the middle of a tariff war. When nations retaliate, executive strategies for tariff-driven disruption are thrown into chaos. Retailers face unprecedented challenges managing the transformation of 10-20 percent blanket tariffs into a complex web of constantly changing country-specific penalties disrupting forecasting, sourcing, and pricing strategies. Maytee Pereira, Managing Director in PwC’s US Customs and International Trade practice joins Shelley to help deconstruct tariff inequities. Supercenters can leverage scale to minimize shocks while discount retailers, heavily dependent on Chinese imports, face existential challenges. And small businesses have the toughest road without the deep financial pockets of the megabrands.

Shelley and Maytee discuss the stark differences in readiness across sectors; apparel companies with years of experience navigating duties demonstrate remarkable adaptability, while other consumer goods retailers are encountering significant tariff impacts for the first time without tested response playbooks. Listen in and learn how forward-thinking organizations are implementing sophisticated approaches to mitigate tariff impacts.

Special Guests

Maytee Pereira: Managing Director in PwC’s US Customs and International Trade

Transcript by Descript:

What is important in order to survive this environment, um, and I, and, and, and, and be able to thrive, is to create agility, right? So that we can, we can pivot regardless of what happens. Um, we are not waiting until.  All of the facts have been announced and finalized before we start thinking about how we move  Retail.

Unwrapped is a weekly podcast hosted by Shelly Cohan from the Robin Report. Each episode dives into the latest trends and developments in the retail industry. Join them as they discuss interesting topics and interview industry leaders keeping you in the loop with everything retail.

Hi everybody, and thanks for joining our weekly podcast. I’m Shelly Cohan and I’m thrilled to welcome Metis Pereira, who is the managing director of PWCs US Customs and International Trade Practice. Oh my God, you must be so busy right now. You have, uh, 30 years experience in customs law and international trade, which is very impressive.

But actually Metis, what I love most about your background is that your experience expands apparel, consumer goods, luxury retail. So welcome.  Thank you, Shelly. Thank you for having me. It’s a pleasure to be here. And I think to say that, um, these are busy times for myself and professionals like me is the understatement of the year.

I literally think Metis, we could sit here for the next eight hours and talk about tariffs. Absolutely. We won’t do that. We’re not gonna close listeners with that. But, um, let’s see what we can get through over the next, you know, 20, 30 minutes or so. But I let, let’s kind of level set and start from the beginning.

So we had these initial expectations of moderate universal tariffs, and now there’s. Been this wave of targeted, there’s been retaliatory tariffs. Can you kind of give us an a bird’s eye view of what’s happening with tariffs and tariffs expectations?  Sure, sure. So everyone, um, was expecting the tariffs in the range of 10 to 20%

And I think, um, for the most part, we got comfortable with that expectation. Um.  Lo and behold, uh, with the advent of the reciprocal tar tariffs that were announced in early April, we saw tariff rates as high as 145%. For Chinese origin goods and even for products from other countries, we saw tariffs as high as the the high 50% ranges, which is absolutely out of the realm of expectation.

Um, because historically we’ve had very low tariffs with very limited exceptions. There have been some product categories that were still subject to some levels of duty, but nothing in the range of what we are experiencing now.  It’s just crazy. In fact, I was just listening to Yeti, you know Yeti.  One of my favorite brands, I was just listening to them and they actually quoted the 145% tariff increase on products that are coming in from China.

So it’s a real problem and when I, when I hear about this, I hear about, you know, retailers either canceling orders, uh, redirecting supply chains, all of that. So I also think it’s very different based on industry. I think it’s hitting the different levels of industry a lot differently. Can you speak a little bit about.

Um, how different industries it’s hitting these different industries and what preparedness is happening within those industries. Sure. I, I, I think you, you, you hit the nail on the head with respect to the differences in levels of preparedness. There are industries within consumer products in retail that really don’t have a lot of familiarity with tariffs.

Tariffs have been around now since 2018, so for many of us. Um, there’s been, there’s been a bit of a history, uh, with respect to tariffs, but the tariffs that were first imposed in 2018 were very targeted and consumer products were specifically excluded from the tranches of tariffs that were imposed back in 2018 and 2019.

Um, and so when we fast forward to the last several months, those consumer product categories, uh, and industries are really being hit with a new reality for which they had no preparation. Whereas other industries have had a time to, uh, an opportunity to create a certain level of, um.  Of playbooks agility with respect to how to deal with the tariffs, how to create strategies that will help them mitigate.

Um, so what we’re seeing is really a spectrum of industries that are navigating the journey, uh, and are at different points in that, in that spectrum in terms of their level of preparedness, the level of impact to their products, um, because. Whilst there is certainly with respect to China, there’s probably no industry that isn’t impacted by the tariffs on Chinese origin goods because there’s so much that we source from China.

Other industries, um, have focused on specific geographies. So for example,  um. A lot of the footwear industry, uh, in recognizing the, the writing on the wall with respect to China and the potential for China to become a difficult.  Location moved a lot of their sourcing to countries like Vietnam. Um, and so Vietnam is a country that has now significant amount of infrastructure and, and, uh, production capacity in the footwear space.

The tariff rate that was, that was announced for Vietnam, which was quite high, um, in the high 40% range, is gonna have a direct impact on the footwear industry because so much of that industry did move in that direction. Right. And when you say that they saw the writing on the wall, you’re not talking, they moved this sourcing years ago, right?

This isn’t something correct. We just kind of pivoted to They saw this coming a couple years ago, right? Correct. Yeah. We saw, we saw the footwear industry start to move.  I would say in the early two thousands, starting to understand that, um, also a lot of the efficiencies, a lot of the attractive characters, traits that resulted in the move to China were starting to wane.

Um, the cost of labor in China was increasing. Um, there’s greater difficulty, uh, in, in being able to operate in China. The costs. Of moving the goods of freight, um, from China. We saw some of the challenges that we had, uh, during Covid. Um, that certainly gave an indication that, um, it was a challenge for retailers to have supply so far away.

Um, so there were, and, and, and all within one location, right? So completely captive to China. So we’ve seen going back as early I would say. It’s two, the 2000 tens, um, that particular industries were, uh, recognizing the need to diversify, not necessarily leaving China altogether, but the need to diversify so that they could create resilience in their supply chains.

Yeah,  and it makes sense. ’cause you know, when we went through the pandemic. You know, we thought, wow, we really have to think about supply chain differently. And we’ve always talked about supply chain, and I don’t know if you view it this way, but it’s, it shouldn’t really be a supply chain quote unquote, with links.

So when the link breaks, everything else falls down. It should be a supply ecosystem. Exactly. So a lot of, a lot of, uh, brands and manufacturers have kind of pivoted towards that. Um, but I wanna go back to something you said about this, um, idea that tariffs were not. Really common in some industries. So I, I just would love your perspective going into 2025, where, you know, apparel industry, we’ve been dealing this with for years, you know, furniture industry years, but these other industries coming into 2025, was this like a complete shock?

Was it something they knew was coming? Like, can you get, put some color around what happened with those industries and what they’re now trying to do to cope with this? Sure. Yeah. For many industries it has been a complete shock, um, because. They were not subject to tariffs or duties, um, in, in their history.

And even if they were, there were some duties. The duties have always been pretty static, not a significant amount of change. Um, and it’s been considered really just a cost of doing business. Um, and so now fast forward to 2025, it is not only a significant. Element in the,  the procurement costs, but it’s also very unstable.

And I think that is part of the concern that many companies are coming to grips with, is not fully having an appreciation of where we’re gonna land. And that is very uncomfortable when you’re planning a year in advance, when you’re planning, um, and, and procurement, right? Planning your supply chain requires you to think.

Ahead and to make decisions with respect to what you’re going to, where you’re going to procure, and what you’re going to procure, and the pricing at which you’re going to procure next year on the basis of the information that you have today. Um, and unfortunately, we are operating in a world very fluid information with respect to the current tariff environment.

Yeah. And I don’t know if you have any specific examples you can share with us, um, in terms of, you know, what, what’s now happening based on what you just said. So, if I heard you correctly, we placed orders a year ago in that contract or purchase order agreement. There’s nothing that talks about tariff increases.

So now as the orders are beginning to ship, bang, here come the tariffs. Right? Exactly, exactly. We have a number of clients who are looking back at their agreements to see who’s. Who ultimately is responsible for these tariffs? Because no one thought about, um, necessarily having to account for, is there, is there language in our purchase agreements that allow us to negotiate on, uh, with respect to the impact of tariffs, right?

Can we ob abs, can we share in the absorbing of the pain? Those are considerations that haven’t for. For some of the industries that had never had any of that muscle, Mary, that had never had those experiences with tariffs dating back,  there was never a need to think about these things, and therefore those considerations are not there.

And now we’re trying to figure them out.  Wow. So there is no, have you been able to find any instances where there’s something in that contract, that purchase order, that then puts the onus on the.  Producing country. We, we have found instances where there’s been, um, contracts that have been written with significant foresight,  um, and there has been language, um, that either.

Requires that the parties to the contract reach some agreement, um, or that the supplier, uh, agrees to reimburse the, the, the US buyer for a portion of those costs so that they’re sharing in the pain. Uh, but it’s never a consistent position. It’s, it’s really, uh, once in, in a while that we find a contract where there’s been that a forethought to consider.

These issues. And I think in those instances it’s really not been as much consideration of the tariffs, but rather a, an additional consideration.  What was likely driving those clauses was really the, the increase in the, in the cost of freight,  um, companies became very sensitive. To the cost of freight coming out of the, the challenges that we had around the pandemic, right?

So that’s what created awareness, less the expectation that we would be in the moment that we are today, but sort of a broader awareness that there were these ancillary costs associated with the supply chain that could.  Ex expand tremendously, um, beyond our wildest expectations. And I think Metis, and I know you’re an expert in this, so, um, if this is like a simple question that’s easily answered, great.

But so when you think about it, should we be telling like, uh, retailers and brands, uh, when they’re doing these contracts that they have to have, um.  You know, clauses in there that discuss, for example, if all of a sudden the port fees increase because there’s less ships coming into a port, is that quote unquote a tariff or tax?

Is that something else? Then you have the cost of goods or production. What if the cost of goods goes up? Um, so there should there be more clauses in these agreements that  help mitigate the, you know, significant cost outcome.  I definitely think that retailers should start thinking about the implications to their inbound supply chains that go beyond the cost of the product, right?

I, I think the cost of the product has been, um, the primary focus in, in those agreements, and it’s important. History has, has taught us that it’s important to consider the ancillary considerations that feed into the landed cost because the FOB cost of a of a product is, becomes somewhat irrelevant if the landed cost.

Explodes by virtue of these other considerations. That’s right. And I think most buyers, and you could correct me uh, if I’m wrong here, but I believe most buyers, so a buyer for a retailer is really scolded an expert in negotiating, you know, price for product. They understand cost of goods. I would even say that in the apparel manufacturing, um, and furniture manufacturing accessories.

Uh, and. You know, all the kind of fashion categories. Mm-hmm. They have a, you know, an understanding of, of what tariffs might, uh, be loaded in there. But I don’t believe buyers, uh, as a, you know, job function are actually trained on tariff taxes and customs. Yeah. Is,  and, and, and that I think that that becomes certainly in the, in the apparel, in the fashion industry, um, there is a sensitivity because.

Additional duty rates on fashion, on apparel products and on footwear have always been historically high. So when we talk about, um, the tariffs, the tariffs are imposed on top of standard duties. Standard duties, which have always been in place are. Generally quite low for the vast majority of products and vast majority of industries.

I would say the range is somewhere between two to 4%.  Okay. Um, which is a nominal, uh, it’s a tax, but it’s a nominal tax. Right.  In the, in the apparel categories and in the footwear categories, that  range of standard duties is 18 to 24%.  So it’s already a significant. Element of your landed value. Now, if you take that 18 to 24% and you add to it the 145%, if the goods are coming from China,  that is a huge consideration on the cost of your goods.

Your landed cost is easily. Twice as much, um, as your purchase price for the goods. And that doesn’t even account for freight and insurance and all of the other costs that, that are, uh, weighed into landed cost. Yeah, that’s amazing. Um, let’s swift shift gears here for a second. So I understand grocery has been completely caught off guard.

Um, can you talk a little bit about grocery and maybe if you have any like specific Sure.  Sure. So, so grocery is definitely an industry, um, that has been completely caught off guard because  that industry was, was very intentionally excluded from the tariffs. Historically in 2018,  um, they are products that are subject to very, very low rate of duties, um, generally standard duties.

And they are now experiencing not only the potential for direct tariffs when the grocery products are imported, but also the costs of those grocery products even when they’re, when they’re, um.  Domestically sourced  are being impacted by the tariffs because we also have tariffs on aluminum and steel products.

And when you walk down the grocery aisle, how many of the products are in aluminum cans? Right,  right. So that is an industry that it’s almost a bit of a perfect storm. Not only were they not prepared for the challenge of tariffs because they have no prior experience, they have no prior experience in.

Mitigating or devising strategies to mitigate the cost of duties and tariffs. But in addition to that, they’re, they’re being hit by two alternative waves of tariffs, the tariffs that hit them directly, and then the tariffs that are hitting the inputs into the products that they, that they sell, like the packaging.

Like the packaging. Yeah. That’s crazy. Alright, so now I wanna ask you about, so let’s talk about the tariff impact based on business segments. So we have, you know, superstore, we have discount, we have off price, we have, you know, specialty store. Can you. Give us some, uh, maybe information about how the tariffs are hitting the different segments and what that means.

Sure, sure. I, I think the bottom line when we talk about business segments is that size matters. Um, so the superstores, um, have a better ability first to absorb the tariffs. Secondly, to negotiate. With their suppliers, with respect to the tariffs, they also have broader selections of products, so they’re diversified by definition.

Right? When we talk about the discount retailers, they’re more limited across all those fronts. Right, because they, they, they don’t have the, the vast volume. Um, they’re from a supply perspective always are going to be, um, lesser positioned in negotiations than the Walmarts of the world. Um, and those negotiations often end up.

With reductions in the category, the basket of products that they have available. So now not only are they in a lesser position to absorb the tariffs in a lesser position to negotiate the tariffs, um, but also are left with less of a basket of products to offer the consumer that is, um. Also being impacted by the tariffs and being more, um, conservative in, in its, um, discretionary spending.

So when you say discount retailers, can you gimme a few examples of name plates that you consider discount? That  I would including like the Walmarts and the Targets, I think. Right. So the Walmarts and the Targets, I would think are the Superstore. Um, I discounts, I’m talking about the Dollar Generals, um Right, the dollar stores.

And those are the, I think the, the retailers that will have the most difficult time, they’re already operating on razor thin margins. That’s right. Not in a position to absorb, um, these extraordinary tariffs. They’re already operating in a procurement model that is heavily reliant on China because the, that is where you get the lower priced supply.

Um, and obviously they already have a clientele that is less able. To absorb price increases to, to account for the tariffs.  Yeah, that’s, yeah. And that’s a tough segment for sure. I mean, I think they’re running like on 10 to 15% margins. 15 being generous. Yeah. If you’re tacking on a 12, 15, 18%, you know, tariff, tariff on top of that, uh, that model just doesn’t work.

It doesn’t work. It’s not sustainable. So what are companies doing? Maybe you can, if you could kind of put it in terms for us, um, what short term things, uh, are you seeing being done that maybe other retailers and brands can benefit? What are some medium term measures and long term, what should we be thinking about?

Yeah. So in, in terms of short term measures, and we’ve seen a lot of this already, um, the retailers are bringing up, uh, purchasing, right? We are right now, at least with re respect to rest of world, we are in a, in a, within the 90 day. Uh, suspension of the, the, um, reciprocal tariffs, right? So we’re just on the baseline.

10% tariffs as opposed to whenever may apply to the particular countries. And so we are definitely seeing that retailers are taking this opportunity to bring forward supplies to, to the extent. Possible whether that means, um, you know, buying more than they anticipate they’re going to need, um, or just advancing orders to get ahead of when the tariffs hit in July, when the new tariffs are advanced are, um, announced in July.

Um, we’re also seeing retailers that are going back to their supply base and negotiating. Um. With varying degrees of success. And there again, that’s where we see that, uh, all retailers are not, retailers are not created equal and are not experiencing the same level of success. Um, we are seeing clients starting to think about diversifying, where they’re, what they’re purchasing supply chain looks like.

And right now. I say think about because it’s not necessarily the greatest time to be making decisions as to what your future state supply chain looks like because we don’t have enough information yet. Right. Um, but starting to think. That capacity is very powerful because what is important in order to survive this environment, um, and I, and, and, and be able to thrive, is to create agility, right, so that we can, we can pivot regardless of what happens.

Um, we’re not waiting until.  All of the facts have been announced and finalized before we start thinking about how we move. I don’t think that’s gonna happen anytime soon, so, yeah. Yeah. So the, so, so, so we are seeing companies that are taking those preparatory steps, um, from a short-term perspective to enable the medium and and long-term perspective.

Sometimes for some categories of products, it’s actually looking for different sources of supply, um, and understanding that there may be.  Other, uh, sources of supply that may come out of this experience being the better option.  Um, not withstanding that it may not be the better price point today.  Right.

And are you seeing, like companies looking at shortening the supply chain, is that a tactic that would be useful in this type of scenario? Absolutely. Absolutely.  The other thing that I think it’s important and we’re seeing companies recognize more and more is that there is not one single solution to surviving the tariff environment.

This really is about layering on  differing mitigation  levers  and then calibrating to find what is the right set of strategies to implement. And understanding that at any point things can and likely will change and we have to be ready to pivot.  That’s great. I’m gonna ask you one last question if you’re okay with this, but can is artificial intelligence, is there anything out there that artificial intelligence can kind of help and get us to solve this problem?

Are you seeing anything? Uh,  absolutely. Uh, there’s many things in development, um, across and, and we at pwc have invested tremendously in developing tools. Technology is an absolute necessity to help companies navigate. The unchartered waters that we are entering. Um, there is so much information that needs to be absorbed, ingested in order to be able to make valid data-driven decisions as to how to proceed and how to create that agility that I talked about.

It’s, it’s virtually impossible to do so without. Leveraging AI and other technologies. No, that’s great. Thank you so much. I really appreciate you having on the podcast. You were a wealth of information and uh, I’m sure we’ll have you back again because this is an ongoing conversation probably for the rest of this year at least.

Indeed. Thank you, Shelly. It was a pleasure to be here. Thank you for having me.

Thank you for listening to Retail Unwrapped. We’ll be back in one week with another podcast. Please subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify. Or any podcast service. If you have questions, ideas for a podcast or anything else, please contact us via the robin reports.com.

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Luxury in Flux: LVMH’s American Gambit https://therobinreport.com/luxury-in-flux-lvmhs-american-gambit/ Fri, 09 May 2025 04:01:00 +0000 https://therobinreport.com/?p=97620 LVMHLVMH adapts to 2025's market shifts with digital storytelling, experiential retail, and strategic moves to redefine and sustain luxury.]]> LVMH

The luxury market finds itself at a critical inflection point with industry titan LVMH serving as a perfect case study of resilience buffeted by volatility. As aspirational consumers pull back spending and economic uncertainty prevails, LVMH is making strategic pivots to redefine luxury’s trajectory. The recent luxury boom is resetting to sobering realities: price increases, impending tariffs, and the weaking dollar. Join Shelley and Marie Driscoll, a retail analyst, consultant and TRR contributor, as they dive into LVMH’s strategies to keep their brands relevant and top of mind for the consumer during a time of major market disruptions. The challenges are steep: LVMH and other luxury powerhouses must reimagine their value propositions by building authentic community through experiential retail. The luxury tool of the future? Digital storytelling that introduces brand essence and value that transcends superficial, fleeting TikTok impressions.

Special Guests

Marie Driscoll: A retail analyst, consultant and TRR contributor

One truism of luxury is. The world continues to get wealthier, and as the world gets wealthier, there’s more people entering the middle class, and the middle class will buy aspirational luxury products. So long-term Secularly luxury will do well. Retail Unwrapped is a weekly podcast hosted by Shelly Cohan from the Robin Report.

Each episode dives into the latest trends and developments in the retail industry. Join them as they discuss interesting topics and interview industry. Three leaders keeping you in the loop with everything retail.

Hi everyone, and thanks for joining our weekly podcast. I’m Shelly Cohan and I’m very excited to welcome Marie Driscoll. Marie, I have known you a long time and you wear many, many hats and you have a wealth of experience. You actually, I believe you come from equity analysis on Wall Street. I do. And you actually won, you won best on the street like three times, which is.

Wow, that’s amazing. Um, you also have an academic teaching career as well where you teach retail entrepreneurship and equity analysis at Baruch Fashion Institute of Technology and the new school. And most recently, I believe you are now president of the Retail Marketing Society Board, is that correct? I am.

Mm-hmm. Yeah. Yeah, that’s, that’s just an amazing background. And of course I have to put a plug in for the Robin report. You’re one of our esteemed writers at the Robin Report, so welcome. Yeah, and I also do some advisory work. On top of all that. Yes. Lots of little children everywhere. Well, I’m so thrilled to have you on retail and wrap podcasts to discuss the world largest luxury con con conglomerate.

Yeah. Uh, LVMH. I love LVMH. I’ve studied them a lot. I’ve done so much business analysis on their model. Mm-hmm. But what really is interesting is how are, how’s the company navigating economic headwinds? We have a lot of changing consumer behaviors and market. In the United States. So let’s jump right into our topic.

If. Great. So I really wanna start with what I think is the most pressing thing on the top of all of our retail mines, and that is the US market and the macro e economic factors that are going on here. So my first question is, I, you, uh, LVMH has had declining US sales in particular. So what’s happening with the performance with LVMH in the Americas in early 2025?

Yeah, you know, it’s a confluence of events, right? Um, you’ve had, you, you had so many aspirational consumers enter luxury during, um, COVID and then during Covid, which I realize is like, it’s three years away already for many. But it still has, um, significant impact on the supply chain of many different industries, not necessarily luxury, um, and consumer thinking and consumer behavior.

Um, during Covid, you had, uh. New, new consumers entering luxury and Louis, um, LVMH with its portfolio of like close to 80 or more than 80 brands. Um, that’s amazing that they have 80 brands now, right. And some of which are in wines and liquor, you know? Yes, of course. And liquor, some hospitality, um, some direct retail like Sephora.

Um, um, and then many in. Fashion and luxury, um, of which, you know, some of the real, the real leaders are that, you know, the five hand, the five that you could count on your hands. Louis Vuitton, um, Christian Dior, um, Celine. Um, and, and, um, Laura Piana and, and like, like, who, who would be a fourth? Would it be Balman?

Um, but those four are significant. Those are household names to luxury shoppers and, and beyond that too. Um, and then of course they have Gelan, um, of very famous French, um, perfumery. But during Covid, you had aspirational shoppers. People that were locked at home all of a sudden entering the market where, what was the one thing that provided experience when you were having no experiences, when you couldn’t travel, when you couldn’t go to the theater, when you couldn’t eat out, when you couldn’t see your family, and all of a sudden the government was actually giving people monies and you were saving money because you were working from home if you still had a job.

So it, it was luxury because luxury creates like a world of dreams. There’s aspiration. You’ve arrived, so you had an onslaught of people buying luxury. And Shelley, you probably remember friends that like three or four months in said, I just bought myself, um, a Louis Vuitton handbag. It’s absolutely, I didn’t need it, but like it felt good, right?

Yeah, people wanted to feel good and they had the money to do it. Right. Right, right. And so, and I think also, you know, you had a lot of demand pulled forward from, um, luxury shop, from normal luxury shoppers. Your typical luxury shopper who just really was sitting at home and didn’t have that many options as we got.

That as we, you know, exited covid and we had double digit inflation across many categories and people truly demanded now they had pent up demand for travel. Um, they started to, you know, spend elsewhere. And so we’ve, as you entered 2024, you had a slow down in the luxury market. Um, which continues this year and it’s a function of people are spending elsewhere where they’re spending elsewhere, it costs more money, right?

There’s been inflation. Um, if you travel, you know that your airline tickets are double what they were pre covid and your hotels are double what they were pre covid. And guess what? The experience is not any better. The experience is frequently worse. What it was pre covid. Um, and we wonder when that’ll have its reckoning.

But so entering 2025, you know, um, many of the luxury brands increase their prices a hundred percent. During Covid. Yeah. Because they could, and towards the tail end, maybe they were increasing luxury pri prices to offset a slowdown in, in, um, demand and to maintain a sales growth. Right, right. Something, a financially driven model, not really a function of, part of it was a function of increased costs, but part of it was.

We can, why not? Um, and you had ver, and so you had companies like Chanel Prada and Louis Vuitton increasing prices more than a hundred percent from 2019 to 2024. So at some point the consumer even goes, what am I? How is this worth this? Right. Right. And so I think that that, that entering this year, then all of a sudden you have the volatility of the stock market.

We did, we weren’t talking about recession very much in the. The second half of 2024. But this year with the, um, impact, the potential impact of tariffs, there’s discussion of, um, recession and greater probabilities of recession, which impacts consumer thinking, and it impacts the stock market, which provides a wealth effect, which has typically supported luxury demand.

And so all of those things are impacting luxury demand today. So as we come into 2025, we have a very nervous consumer. They don’t know what’s gonna happen, right? We have higher prices. And so there has been a bit of a pullback in terms of spend in luxury market. I wanna, um, follow up on a question, um, with a statement you made about tariffs.

So I just read, of course, the never Full Bag, God, it’s. Price increase. I think it’s like all over the news. It’s like one of the most popular bags. Right. Um, but how, how is LVMH handling these tariffs and inflation that is playing in the mind of the consumer? What are they doing? How are they responding to this right now?

You know, they’ve announced that they’re doing price increases as, as, as has Hermes, and certainly the tariffs are the top of. The news cycle for most Americans. So I think it, it, it’s not like I, I think Americans understand it. I, the dollar is weakening, so it’s not like you can go to Europe and like a few years ago you saw some of the shift of as people, um.

Exited Covid and like during Covid luxury sales took off in the United States because we were, we were kind of constrained from traveling. Once travel picked up, all of a sudden Europe saw incredible luxury spend because of American tourists and tourists from other regions as well. Um, but now the strength of the dollar, the dollar has in fact weakened.

Um, I think. I think the consumer understands the price increases. It doesn’t mean they’ll accept them. Right. But, but it certainly is understood and, and, um, Hermes has already, you know, announced that they were going to do price increases Louis Vuitton has. So I, I think that if they do it in concert, it’s understood and they’re doing it in the backdrop of an amazing news cycle that’s highlighting this and.

You know, we’ll see where it all lands. Well, that’s interesting. So you have these, um, luxury brands that are raising prices, but yet you have this declining consumer confidence in the us So are are, is that mean we’re gonna squeeze out one of those luxury consumers and they’re gonna drop back? I mean, what’s gonna happen with that consumer?

Especially now we have all these US consumers that are really toned into this value mindset. Right. I, I. I was on stage at Shop Talk a month ago and talked about Mai. I gave a presentation about Mai and I really think, um, you know. Not only, there’s lots of options. You can go from one brand to another. Um, you know, one of the things that happened as Chanel prices reached, say, $12,000, was people said, well, this is very close to the price of Hermes.

I can buy an Hermes, uh, I, I may have to spend a few. There is an Hermes handbag that you can buy for less than 12,000. It’s may not be the Birkin, but you can shop Hermes. You also can shop secondhand Hermes. You can go to the RealReal, you can go to fashion file, you can go to, um, vest. So there’s all you, you can do this.

And, and, and then there’s ma. I there you can buy and then there’s du At Mati you can buy similar quality leather, not the, um, powerhouse brand of a Louis Vuitton, a Chanel, but a nice brand, um, a very nice bag that looks very, it looks the same, it just doesn’t have the CS or the lvs on it. Um, right for a 10th of the price.

And then you can buy a dupe on a TikTok for, you know, 100th of the price. Right. So the consumer is the, the consumer has options to be fashionable and without spending this top, top dollar, I think on some level, um, some of the price increases of the last five years has eroded trust in the luxury brands.

Right. And don’t, don’t forget the rental market, right? A lot of consumers are renting Chanel bags, you know, as opposed to buying them, right? So that’s a whole nother avenue. And so I think the resale and the rental are two very big growing markets that are kind of pushing our headwinds against the L vm Hs.

And the luxury brands in terms of selling full price luxury items. What I’d like to ask. Yeah, go ahead. Yeah, I, you know, I remember seeing the founder of Rent the Runway speak at a, um, Goldman Sachs conference, and she talked, you know, this was pre Covid. Um, you know, people could get a subscription of four items.

Sometimes you would get two subscriptions, and she talked about, you know, you may want that really iconic coat. So you, you rent that, that, that you rent that every single month. But guess what? Next year you want another iconic coat. So there’s like, you can have, she called that leasing. That’s, and that’s what they do a lot actually.

A lot of my colleagues at FIT do the leasing model. Right. They love doing that for those reasons. They can have the hot coat today when they get tired of it. And a lot of us in fashion, you know, we tire of things before they actually end their life cycle. Right. And so it’s a great model from a sustainability standpoint.

Yes. So let me switch gears here. So, LVMH has always been the guru of marketing and advertising. So can you talk a little bit about, maybe compare it to its competitors and can you tell us are, are they doing something different in this current environment? Well, you know, they, they kind of, this is going to crack you up, but, so I’ve been covering retail for like the last 25, 30 years.

I remember when every press release from Amazon had this long litany of all the things they were executing on, like we bought. Oh, yes. Like it was just one thing after another to kind of obfuscate the fact that. There were no profits, like, keep watching this because this stuff is gonna move up there soon.

It’s gonna drive sales. Um, and it will, and it, it will expand our ecosystem. It still may not generate profits, you know, so I’m talking about 2001, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. Oh, yes. Right. I totally remember those. Right. But, but, and they long, it was a long, long, long list. So. Louis Vuitton, um, this year entered beauty. This was something that they never were going to do, and I remember when they never were going to do fragrance and they now have a very successful fragrance line that is quasi sustainable because you buy the bottle, you go back and you refill it, and you can only refill it at Louis Vuitton, they only sell it at their own, um, stores.

And one of the great things about selling. Lower priced items, um, entree luxury items. Aspirational luxury items in a flagship is you start to get comfortable in the, um, in the ambiance in a flagship of a luxury store. And as you, um, increase your wealth, you may well consider a handbag that’s across the floor, right.

Or a piece of jewelry. Um, but so this year they entered beauty. Um, they also recently announced that they’re doing home and they launched that in Milan. And so beauty is, um, aspirational and an entry point, but then home is very high end. So they’re, they’re kind of balancing their act as they, um. As they, you know, think about the next five or 10 years, uh, they’re, in terms of marketing, they’re the consummate market marketers, first of all, as big as they are.

I think they spend 11, 10, 11% a year on marketing, and that far dwarfs anybody else’s. That is tremendous. Right. And it’s, it’s like, you know. It’s like, it’s the same model of L’Oreal. You know, you when you’re spending that much and you are that big, and Nike too, you dwarf what other people can spend. So, um, and like their advertising budgets say would be then 10 or 11 billion, um, dollars or euros.

And most luxury brands don’t have sales that big. 10. Right, right. And of course, that’s the aggregate spend across all their brands, but a lot of it is focused on LVMH, uh, I’m sorry, on Louis Vuitton and Dior. Do, do you remember for the Robin report a year ago I wrote about, I. Um, the Parisian Olympics, the Summer Olympics?

Yes. Oh yeah. Because they got really involved in that, which was great. Right, right. And it From a branding perspective. Yeah, from a marketing perspective, it was like when sales, what I wrote then was when sales were slowing down, we knew 2024 was going to be difficult. So what are we gonna do? We’re spending 150 million euros aligning ourselves with the Olympics, which is sport.

Incredible. Um. The world is watching that. And um, and really Paris became a backdrop to all of the LVMH brands and, and you know, that that lasts for that, you know, think of all the social media, all the clips that Right, of course. And, and that just brought the brands to the forefront of the world and that lasts for years, that, that’s priceless.

Yeah, so LVMH is great ’cause they kind of, I don’t wanna say take advantage, but they really focus on these cultural events. And I believe they did something with Notre Dame’s reopening too, right? Yeah. Yes. Um, um, Farrell Williams was there singing with, uh, it was an amazing event. I was there the week before it opened, so I was so sad I didn’t get in.

Um, but Pharaoh Williams, um, was singing happy with. I, I don’t remember the, the chorus, but it was wonderful women like just, and how vibrant, because Notre Dame is. Quintessential Paris and France. Right? Absolutely. And, and then this year they did something with Formula One. They’ve, they, and that’s, that’s another entire niche market that isn’t so niche.

It’s really gigantic. But for your average luxury goods analyst like me, it’s like, I don’t know a whole lot about that. I don’t have boys that are involved in that. But that’s a big market. And what are they doing? They’re going where people with money spend time. Yeah. And, and they’re, they’re, they’re putting their, they’re placing their brands in the midst of that.

Then they’re also like just here on Fifth Avenue as they’re, um, remodel their flagship. They have an incredible store across the street right next to Tiffany, um, and. They have cafes and they have chocolate and, and the ca you know, Christian Dior has cafes, Armani has cafes, but this is one of the di uh, who is it?

Coach has cafes. This, this is a way of spending time in a brand, getting comfortable and then, you know, just, it becomes part of, part of your consideration set when you buy something special. Absolutely. It’s part of the retail store experience. So they, they, they actually are masters at this retail store experience.

They hit a lot of positive notes when it comes to that customer journey. Um, what are they doing with popups and are there other things that they’re doing outside of the brick and mortar or online business? You know, um, they have, their marketing is great. Their, their apps are great. Um, I, I watched the Louis Vuitton app and of course I’m very, you know, I go to their.

Their investor relations page, their corporate page for all the news that I want. But then I’ll watch what, like, the Dior app is fabulous. Um, so they tell stories digitally. Um, I. In terms of popups, I haven’t, I haven’t seen a popup lately. Um, I, I know that they have traveling, um, museum ex exhibits that, which is great, are incredible.

Like you may remember the Dior that was in Brooklyn. I. Oh my God. One of my favorite exhibits ever. That was unbelievable. It is. It was, it really, really was. Um, they have a Dior museum right behind the flagship on Boulevard Montag, which takes your breath away. Um, but the, the Brooklyn Museum, that is an incredible place for a fashion exhibit.

Right. I think you have three or four stories. It’s, it’s just. You are awestruck. Um, I think I took like a thousand pictures the day I visited. Like I and I, I look at them all the time. I use ’em in class, I show students. It’s just an amazing Right, uh, way to kind of talk about the Christian New York brand and the heritage of that brand.

Right, right. And frankly. I really got turned on to Lou. Like of course I knew about Louis Vuitton as a brand, but when I went to Paris, say in 2005 or oh six, and I was visit, coach was opening up at Proton, um, and I was speaking with their head of international, he told me to go visit. The Louis Vuitton exhibit at the City Museum in Paris and I went there and you know this museum is like from the 17th century

It had very low ceilings, lots of long walkways. But it told the story of Louis Vuitton and it told the story of the innovation of the brand like Louis, Louis Vuitton. The man created, and this is probably told on podcasts now, and, and makers stories, but before, um, Louis Vuitton created the flat tra um, trunk.

 

And before that they were curved. And when they were curved, it was difficult to stack one on top of another. This was innovation. Oh, yeah. Um, and, and if you think about travel in the, um, 19th century when he, when the brand was created, it was really the wealthy, the royalty, the celebrities, the opera singers, the theater people that travel, um, also the artists.

So he would make. Bespoke for his clients, um, travel utilities that were specific for them. So for someone who was travel for the writer, it was set up for, for a typewriter. Um, I remember somebody had a hammock and for, you know, there was special things set up for, um. For, for the opera singer. Like Spy

Yeah. Just, and that’s when I fell in love with the brand. I didn’t fall in love with the brand because of the lvs and the fact that, you know, people on Fifth Avenue were carrying the bag. It was that, look at the creativity in how this brand became meaningful. And then, you know, they still use travel as a source of inspiration and in their marketing.

 

Right. And, uh, so now I’m gonna transport you from this vision of people carrying these huge chest on ships. These huge, you know, travel bags. They were actually like, uh, chess that were carried on to. I’m gonna fast forward you into 2025 TikTok, right? Which is a completely different model. So what’s LVMH doing in terms are, are they trying to get that younger market and are they using platforms like TikTok?

 

Has it been successful? Yeah, sure. And they, they are, and I think they, like in, in my article I wrote, how many, um, they have hundreds of thou, they have millions of followers, right? They have millions of likes. They’re one of the most liked brand. It’s not, they are, people know who they are. Like everywhere you go, people know.

 

Um, Louis Vuitton. The thing with the TikTok crowd is there’s, you know. You are flick, it isn’t necessarily a path to purchase. It may be um, awareness, but it’s awareness for three seconds. How, and a longer TikTok, maybe 30 seconds, you’re not really staying there. So, no, um, it really, I. What, what all of you know, the brands that have really benefited from TikTok are when consumers either buy in it very quickly or if you move and, and you go and discover it in, in real life, you go to the store

But it became, so I’ve. You know, I do teach fashion retail at Parsons, and I’ve had students that have discovered Abercrombie, and you and I know how Abercrombie was so out of favor for many years. Well, then they discover it because some influencer says. These are the only, um, jeans that fit my long legs.

That’s right. The girl relates, she goes to the store. She didn’t really even, it was not part of her consideration set so that if you can actually in a moment con, um, click, you know, con connect with a consumer on something that’s relevant, that’s contextual. It works. It’s not really, other than that, it’s just awareness.

Continued brand awareness, right? Yeah. So yeah, that’s a great example. So thank you for that. I can’t believe we’re running out of time, so I’m gonna ask you one other question of if you’re up for one more question. Yeah, yeah. Um, and it’s about LVMH is what are they doing in terms of emerging markets, um, and how does that impact US operations?

I, you know, um, you may remember that, um, on the inaugural on, um, the inauguration of President Trump, um, Bernard AAU was right there. So I did notice that. Right. And he was very, um, positive on America. Is spending hundreds of millions of dollars here expanding in America. He’s not getting, you know, whatever’s happening this year.

It, it’s with tariffs. Things will write themselves out, and it’s not just tariffs. It’s a slowing. Of consumer demand, they will stay relevant. Um, there is, you know, you do hit a law of large numbers. How big can you grow? I’ve spoken with luxury professionals around the world, and that’s one, like I sometimes say, I think they broke their promise, um, with these prices and, and the, but they’re also big as the enemy of cool.

And you are too big. How do you remain cool? One of the ways you do it is with these limited additions. Um, and so. And, and then you and I experience fomo, like, let me get that. Of course. And you keep creating demand that way. Like, but obviously they have to think about other regions. China has really, um, which China, which was driving luxury sales for most of this century is weak and continues to be weak and weaker than the United States.

Um, and their economy is. Going through its own issues with real estate, most of, most of the Chinese consumers value is tied up in real estate. So the aspirational shopper there is really not shopping. Um, and the wealthy. They are. Um, but so you have to move to other regions and Abu Dhabi like next year, right?

Abu Dhabi I think is becoming that and India will become a growth area and Latin America and Africa. I mean, one truism of luxury is. The world continues to get wealthier and as the world gets wealthier, there’s more people entering the middle class and the middle class will buy aspirational luxury products.

So long-term secularly luxury will do well. That’s great. Well, Marie, you’ve been a wealth of information as you always are. I always love seeing you at conferences and chatting with you ’cause I always learn a lot. So thank you so much. Yeah. And I love seeing you too. And I love seeing you at FIT. It’s like we’re right there together.

I know. Isn’t that fantastic? Yes. Yes it is. Alright, thank you so much and I wanna thank our listeners for tuning in. If you have any suggestions on upcoming podcast, please use contact us in our website. Site the ro report.com. Thanks so much. Thank you for listening to Retail Unwrapped. We’ll be back in one week with another podcast.

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LVMH Spends Its Way to Be Top of Mind https://therobinreport.com/lvmh-spends-its-way-to-be-top-of-mind/ Thu, 01 May 2025 04:01:00 +0000 https://therobinreport.com/?p=97595 LVMH slashLVMH stays top-of-mind through bold marketing, cultural moments, and creativity despite sales slump and luxury market shifts.]]> LVMH slash

What do you do when you’re in a slump? You double down on creativity and imagination to overcome the odds with optics. Say, for example, you’ve temporarily closed one of your signature headquarters stores in New York. Or you are in the throes of building a massive new headquarters in Paris. If you are LVMH, you go all in on “notice-me” temporary building wraps that keep the vibrancy, heritage and covetousness of your products top of mind in the cultural conversation. And then you create pop-ups to fill the shopping gaps that are as memorable as the flagship stores. Sales may be down, but the originality of delivering an experience exceeds anyone’s expectations. Full disclosure: It takes deep pockets to pull any of this off.

Here’s a troubling possibility. Like Nero, is Arnault serenading investors while his Rome is aflame? Fourth-quarter results were disappointing for his luxury behemoth as were Q1 2025 and frankly, the near future doesn’t look so good either.

LVMH Breaks the Luxury Mold

Last spring we wrote about how genius LVMH was with its Summer Olympics sponsorship, maintaining and enhancing brand awareness across many of its 80 brands. Their participation was highly visible despite the slowdown in luxury spending. Their collabs of monumental proportions spanned months and traversed the entire city of Paris and most LVMH brands. The unveiling of restored Notre Dame in December 2024 provided Louis Vuitton with yet another cultural moment as Pharrell Williams performed his award-winning “Happy” at the reopening ceremony. It was Louis Vuitton, front and center. In a year when luxury has been under increased macroeconomic pressures, LVMH invested wisely to stay at the forefront of consumers’ minds.

Keeping in Touch

One differentiator of great consumer companies is consistent and relevant communication with shoppers and potential customers regardless of sales trends and economic and social headwinds. Brands want to be top of mind with their target audiences, so when their customers are ready, willing and able to spend, they will turn to the brand that engaged them through the lull. Sadly, not all leaders see the value in brand marketing during downtimes. And worse? For the enlightened leaders who do, many just don’t have the capital to invest in this branding initiative.

The leaders at LVMH take this strategy to heart. In tandem with its Q1 2025 sales call, Cecile Cabanis, CFO reminded investors when discussing Fashion & Leather Goods, “For us, it’s key to continue to invest in our networks and behind the brand because we want to make sure that we exit this downturn cycle very strong and ready when demand bounce back. So, it’s all a matter of balance between adjusting to the current context and ensuring that we keep investing in our long-term growth.”

Luxury Brand Talent

In the past 20 years, we have seen the luxury industry increase its acumen with the enlistment of the world’s best managers and graduates from CPG brand management and marketing including P&G, Unilever and PepsiCo. Coupled with that expertise is the North Star of exclusivity and scarcity that make luxury so coveted. As Richard Hayne, CEO of Urban Outfitters told me 20-some years ago, “Big is the enemy of cool.” Luxury is, after all, at the apex of desire and emotion wrapped in an irreducible product. When everyone at the airport is carrying said luggage, bag, backpack or passport holder, the apex is lowered to mainstream, and the dream is gone.

Smoke Signals

Here’s a troubling possibility. Like Nero, is Arnault serenading investors while his Rome is aflame? Fourth-quarter results were disappointing for his luxury behemoth and frankly, the near future doesn’t look so good either. Yet a handful of other luxury companies (Hermès, Brunello Cucinelli, Mytheresa, Prada, Ralph Lauren, Richemont), albeit far smaller with only a handful of brands, are reporting solid results. Is mega-luxury diversification hitting a wall?

With the hyperbole of few corporate executives, Bernaud Arnault, Chairman and CEO of LVMH, spoke glowingly of his business, brands and team on the January 28, 2025, earnings call. He said,

“So, it is a challenging environment, but Dior fared best compared to its competitors. And we’re hopeful and we’re confident. I am optimistic. We always need to be cautious, but I am confident.”

Reversal of Fortune

What a difference a quarter makes! Macro indicators of consumer health have weakened, from slowing monthly retail sales (excluding autos) and the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index dropping to 50.8 in its most recent April 11th preliminary reading, its lowest level since June 2022 as consumers assess as best they can the possibility of tariffs, inflation and recession, global unrest and the recent stock market selloff. LVMH didn’t fare so well in the first quarter of 2025, with a 3 percent (organic) revenue decline, reflecting a 9% drop in sales of Wines & Spirits and a 5 percent decrease in Fashion & Leather Goods sales; sales in the Americas declined 3 percent as well.

A confluence of forces in 2024 stalled the luxury market sales trajectory of the past 25 years. As a global industry, luxury thrives with the many transactions normally occurring during travel. Covid played havoc with luxury demand and then the tide turned with heightened pent-up demand as consumers sought feel-good experiences to compensate for the imposed social and travel constraints. U.S. shoppers, armed with Covid relief funds accelerated the U.S. luxury market growth pace, while Europe sales stayed stalled after the drop in international travelers. The Chinese luxury shopper, which propelled luxury growth for the first 20 years of this century also stalled and in 2024, most luxury brands have explained away their weakened sales with the disengaged Chinese consumer. Japan on the other hand, with its weakened yen, is currently enjoying a surge in its domestic luxury market with an influx of international luxury shoppers lured by the attractive exchange rates.

Another factor with residual side effects is how many luxury brands increased prices during Covid at double-digit annual rates without any apparent increase in quality — because they could. In retrospect, it seems opportunistic and insensitive to hold the luxury market hostage. But it worked then as prices and sales soared. Now post-Covid, those prices have caught up with market conditions, and consumers are constrained by inflationary pressures across most consumer products and services. They are seeking value and have been more selective in their spending across staples and discretionary purchases well as luxury products and services.  The luxury market is currently experiencing a period of ‘normalization.’ Chinese and Russian impact on luxury growth diminishes, and the Middle East, India and South America are stepping up. But these new growth markets will take time.

The TikTokification of Luxury

Meanwhile, the face of the luxury shopper and what attracts and retains them has changed. The luxury market is more dynamic today than ever with greater consumer brand awareness and access due to technology. The increase in provenance transparency matches the growing sentiment for individual self-expression at the expense of luxury logo branded products. To attract the next generation of luxury shoppers, luxury brands are embracing TikTok, where Louis Vuitton has 14.9 million followers and 113.9 million likes (as of April 22, 2025). Social is also where immediacy, authenticity and community thrive. Heritage storytelling, loyalty and customer lifetime value are not TikTok’s strengths. This is a younger cohort leading with new a definition of value: vintage, consignment, DUPEs, experience and authenticity.

For luxury brands, balancing fashion and timelessness, heritage and trend, exclusivity and accessibility in a 30-60-90 second video is no small feat. It may not be a race to the bottom as TRR founder Robin Lewis foresaw for retailers, but TikTok marketing is reminiscent of a hamster’s wheel spinning faster and faster but going nowhere.

Generating Desire and Demand

To further court growth and new aspirational luxury shoppers, Louis Vuitton is following other top luxury brands and entering the beauty category later this fall with the launch of La Beauté Louis Vuitton, with beauty and fashion icon Pat McGrath as creative director. Beauty is the entry point into a luxury brand for many aspirational customers; it drives store traffic and creates emotional engagement as a quick pick-me-up affordable indulgence. Beauty is a tough category, and one Louis Vuitton has long avoided. This decision suggests management sees further expansion of its iconic Neverfull and Speedy brands but risks potential overexposure and diminishing returns. Beauty is a wise choice. With the global Louis Vuitton store fleet, beauty will drive store visits and potentially increase frequency, longer queues, FOMO and increased wallet share of existing clients while attracting new aspirational luxury shoppers.  Completing its comprehensive lifestyle strategy, Louis Vuitton launched a home collection of furniture, lighting, objects, textiles and tabletop in April at the Milan’ Design Week its gorgeous (no surprise here) and I could move right in (with limitless funds).  

Keeping Up Appearances

With an annual advertising spend of €9.5 billion or 11.5 percent of revenues in 2023 and 2024 across its 75 Maisons, LVMH significantly outspends its competition, providing a powerful competitive advantage. Under Arnault, LVMH luxury has expanded its allure beyond quality craftsmanship to become a consummate aspirational dream maker. Its sizable marketing budget allows LVMH to spend its way out of an economic slump and stay top-of-mind with nontraditional, attention-getting optics. This year they activated a 10-year partnership with Formula 1 that will touch multiple brands, including Louis Vuitton. The bet is to reach new audiences and create unique cultural touchpoints with an alliance based on high performance, world-class design, exclusivity and mystery.

With the growth mantra Arnault lives by, an LVMH merry-go-round of new artistic directors and brand presidents is tasked with driving cultural relevancy, creating jaw-dropping retail experiences and excitement while balancing growth with enhanced brand equity. Arnault’s latest effort to prolong his CEO tenure until he hits 85 years old is on call for shareholder approval in the latest proxy. He’s busy grooming his children and other talents but is in no way ready to give up the reins.

Megabrands with the ability to spend will win. A truly unique and differentiated product is the calling card. Clever product positioning can potentially capture attention and mindshare. For luxury brands, it is increasingly difficult to develop and maintain a relationship with prospective and existing customers across all the varied consumer touchpoints.  It takes deep pockets and staying power, LVMH and Arnault have both. Just look at the statement his wrapped flagship store on 57th Street makes, and you get a sense of the no-holds-barred spending power of keeping up appearances.

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2023 Retail Strategy Outlook: People, Processes and Platforms https://therobinreport.com/2023-retail-strategy-outlook-people-processes-and-platforms/ Wed, 11 Jan 2023 22:56:47 +0000 https://therobinreport.com/?p=30495 Beck RetailStrategyOver the last three years retailers and brands were faced with both opportunistic initiatives and post-pandemic obstacles. The industry unilaterally and almost instantaneously became aware of how the overall business model was changing. Consumer behaviors and demands have forced a […]]]> Beck RetailStrategy

Over the last three years retailers and brands were faced with both opportunistic initiatives and post-pandemic obstacles. The industry unilaterally and almost instantaneously became aware of how the overall business model was changing. Consumer behaviors and demands have forced a re-examination of how retailers and brands operate, creating a fundamental shift from product to consumer centricity. As a result, retailers are currently focused on evolving their people, processes and platforms.

Columbus Consulting has a special vantage point because we see firsthand what retailers are looking for and then we evaluate their needs and find the right solutions that drive tangible and scalable results.

This retail model re-evaluation has resulted in a two-fold approach around systems and workflow integration and the overall organizational foundation, encouraging retailers to hone a laser focus on evolving their business. We can say this with confidence, as we had over 250 active projects across 110 clients in 2022. Columbus Consulting has a special vantage point because we see firsthand what retailers are looking for and then we evaluate their needs and find the right solutions that drive tangible and scalable results.

What’s Commanding the C-Suite Conversation?

Based on our extensive experience with retail leaders, we have used that expertise to reveal what the industry is focused on for 2023, based on 2022 experiences. There are five key priorities:

  1. Digital transformation across the organization
  2. Omni-centric processes and systems enablement
  3. Supply chain shift from macro to micro
  4. End-to-end integrated planning
  5. The new retail organization
1. Digital Transformation

When we talk about digital transformation, we are not strictly speaking about the technology and its capabilities. We focus on how retailers are transitioning their business operations from physical touchpoints to digital/virtual interactions. This shift requires technology and integration but, more importantly, requires organizations to fundamentally adapt to new ways of working. And that involves informing, training, and getting buy-in from the workforce. Digital transformation can get derailed without people supporting the process. This transformation can take place in any function at any level. For instance, in the product development stage of lifecycle management, digital transformation has been inserted into 3D designs, virtual fittings, augmented reality sampling and remote team alignment. Once enabled, transformation will result in faster, cheaper, better processes that yield cost savings, margin improvement and even speed to market.

2. Omni-Centrism

While we have all been barraged by industry lingo with multi-channel, digital commerce, omnichannel and consumer-centric terminology, the true conversation in 2023 will be about the fundamental pivot from product to consumer as the driver of business process. Here’s the traditional sequence: Workflow starts with an idea for a product improvement. The product is then designed, sourced, priced, sold. Everything around this pathway is driven from the inside out. Today, the process is flipped, driven from the outside in. Consumer and market demand is determining what, where, when and even how much of anything should be delivered. This pivot has impacted retailers based on their organizational maturity curve. In simple terms, legacy retailers are now setting up processes and systems and redefining roles and talent needs around the customer, not the product. They are no longer separating digital from physical and are streamlining transactions and consumer experiences. This transformation is beyond cross channel services like BOPIS; it is an optimization that is invisible to the customer, shifting from linear to circularity across functions to be agile and more predictive.

3. The Reinvented Supply Chain

The recent supply chain conversation was not just a temporary media moment. The supply chain has always been at the core of retail, but it has shifted to the need for a more holistic strategy. Retailers and brands conventionally had siloed teams sourcing materials, working with factories, merchandising the products, determining the inventory levels, managing the shipping, and receiving and overseeing the sales channels. It took a global pandemic to unveil the vulnerability of those processes and reveal the complete lack of visibility of what was actually happening along the chain. The fact that the supply chain literally and metaphorically broke down should not have been a surprise. What was a surprise was that retailers didn’t know they had a problem until they had the problem. When scheduled goods did not show up at the docks or at the warehouses or, ultimately, at the stores, it took the industry off guard. Why? Because operators did not have a micro view of the steps throughout the process and were unable to be nimble and quickly change factories, shift materials, or build into available goods.

4. End-to-End Integrated Planning

When retailers speak about planning, they often reference the term as it relates to their specific business discipline. Merchants are looking at the product lifecycle, inventory and forecasting; finance is looking at the fiscal calendar, profits, quarterly reporting needs; marketing is looking at campaign flights, omni-channel product presentation and performance KPIs. These views have traditionally been done in hindsight, with a look to LY or YOY trends to determine a forward view. Much like everything else post-covid, however, retailers quickly learned that historical views were not sustainable and that historical methodologies could not account for unforeseen variables. Savvy retailers and brands immediately pivoted to more predictive and exception-based models to determine consumer demand and business opportunities. This shift required a re-establishment of the business process, calendarization and cross-functional alignment across finance, marketing, merchandising, supply chain, operations and planning. This is now resulting in teams working collectively with one plan, one view of the calendar, one view of the data and unified goals regardless of the business area within an organization.

5. The New Retail Organization

Perhaps the most critical trend in 2023 will be the rebuilding and reorganizing the retail workforce. This reinvention has been triggered by digital transformation, remote labor, the necessity for new skills, and the productivity of leaner more analytically-driven teams. Many businesses are relying on AI/ML to drive their transformative initiatives, but AI alone cannot deliver sustainable and scalable results. The real transformation needs to be built on an evolved organizational foundation. Roles and responsibilities, cross-functional and channel process integration, and new team members blended with experienced talent are all key ingredients to the new retail recipe for success.

It’s All About Continuous Evolution

While there are always seeds being planted for long-term industry reinvention, more often than not, systematic evolution is the key to improvement. At Columbus Consulting, we predict the industry will reevaluate (more likely overhaul) their internal processes, systems, resources and data. Retailers and brands will embrace new ways to operate, collaborate and evolve their digital integration, fully support consumer-centric/omni-shopping behaviors, refine supply chain touch points, build end-to-end planning models, and look to their new retail organization to retain and acquire the right talent for the future.

Note: Columbus Consulting is a Robin Report Collaborative Partner.

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